Maya Joint and Cristina Bucsa will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maya Joint who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maya Joint is the pick to win this match.
Maya Joint -> 1.69
Cristina Bucsa -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Maya Joint vs. Cristina Bucsa

There is no head to head record between Maya Joint and Cristina Bucsa since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Maya Joint

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Joint got to the semifinal after beating Anastasija Sevastova 2-6 6-4 6-3, Viktoria Morvayova 6-1 6-4 and Himeno Sakatsume 6-4 2-6 6-4.

In the quarter, Joint defeated Sakatsume (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match, Joint scored less points (6) than Sakatsume. In fact, the world no. 32 won 82 points vs Sakatsume’s. That means that Joint was more focused during the important points. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Joint fired 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Maya Joint lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Joint put 67% of her first serves in, winning 61% (36/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Maya broke Sakatsume 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Joint has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 66% of her matches (128-66). 30-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Joint has an overall74-42 record in the last 4 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Rabat where she defeated Jaqueline Cristian in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she overcame Alexandra Eala in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(10).

Maya has an overall 52-27 win-loss record in 2025, 30-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Cristina Bucsa

Ranked no. 68, Cristina reached the semifinal after defeating Yexin Ma 6-1 6-2, Emiliana Arango 6-2 6-4 and Belinda Bencic w/o.

In the quarter, Bucsa defeated Bencic (w/o). During the match Bucsa and Bencic scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 32 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Cristina was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Bucsa wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Cristina Bucsa conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bucsa hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 33-30 win-loss record in 2025, 23-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Joint	Bucsa
Match played	3	2
Tot Set	8	4
Tot Games	72	33
Pts	146-132	140-102
Total Points	278	242
Winners	58	56
%Winners	40%	40%

Joint played 3 matches while Bucsa competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Maya Joint conceded 2 sets while Cristina Bucsa hasn’t conceded a set so far. Joint has played 4 sets more than Bucsa (8 vs 4). Therefore, Joint played 39 games more than Bucsa. Maya scored 58 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Bucsa recorded 56 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Joint	Bucsa
Aces	4	1
Avg per match	1.3	0.5
1st in	90/139	86/126
%1st in	65%	68%
1st pts	58/90	56/86
%1st pts	64%	65%
2nd pts	25/49	18/40
%2nd pts	51%	45%

Joint scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Bucsa blasted 1 ace (0.5 per match). Joint won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bucsa won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Joint	Bucsa
Won	9	11
Converted	9/19	11/27
% Converted	47%	41%
Conceded	13	14
Saved	7	10
% Saved	54%	71%
Times Broken	6	4

Joint broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Cristina broke her opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Bucsa conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Joint
	R1 Sevastova	R2 Morvayova	1/4 Sakatsume	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-3	6-1 6-4	6-4 2-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	27	17	28	72
pts	–	64-44	82-88	146-132
Total points	0	108	170	278
Winners		22	36	58
%Winners	0%	34%	44%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	3	4
Double Faults		3	4	7
1st in	/	31/51	59/88	90/139
% 1st in	0%	61%	67%	65%
1st pts	/	22/31	36/59	58/90
% 1st pts	0%	71%	61%	64%
2nd pts	/	11/20	14/29	25/49
% 2nd pts	0%	55%	48%	51%
Breaks
Won		5	4	9
Converted	/	5/11	4/8	9/19
Converted %	0%	45%	50%	47%
Conceded		5	8	13
Saved	0/	3/5	4/8	7
Saved %	–	60%	50%	37%
Times Broken		2	4	6

Bucsa
	R1 Ma	R2 Arango	1/4 Bencic	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-2 6-4	w/o
Tot Set	2	2	–	4
Tot Games	15	18	–	33
pts	64-39	76-63	–	140-102
Total points	103	139	–	242
Winners	25	31	–	56
%Winners	39%	41%	–	40%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	–	1
Double Faults	0	5	–	5
1st in	34/48	52/78	–	86/126
% 1st in	71%	67%	–	68%
1st pts	25/34	31/52	–	56/86
% 1st pts	74%	60%	–	65%
2nd pts	9/14	9/26	–	18/40
% 2nd pts	64%	35%	–	45%
Breaks
Won	4	7	–	11
Converted	4/11	7/16	–	11/27
Converted %	36%	44%	–	41%
Conceded	1	13	–	14
Saved	1/1	9/13	–	10
Saved %	100%	69%	–	56%
Times Broken	0	4	–	4

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

• Brayden SchnurSchnur – Daniel NguyenNguyen (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Norbert GombosGombos – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cristina BucsaBucsa – (0-0) – H2H and prediction