Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 22^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.9
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 22^nd time that Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev face off. The head to head is 14-7 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-3 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Beijing back in September 2025.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Beijing 29-September-2025

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 3, the German got to the quarter after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7(5) 6-1 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-2 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 68 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 51. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 77% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Davidovich Fokina 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Zverev has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (498-196). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an overall 94-40 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Munich where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

The German has a composed 53-22 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 13, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-1 6-3, Grigor Dimitrov w/o and Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Sonego, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-4).During the match Medvedev scored less points (3) than Sonego. In fact, the world no. 3 won 102 points vs Sonego’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Medvedev scored 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (42/58) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Sonego twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Almaty where he overcame Corentin Moutet in the final 7-5 4-6 6-3.

Daniil has a compiled 41-22 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Medvedev
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	50	48
Pts	178-142	160-145
Total Points	320	305
Winners	82	71
%Winners	46%	44%

Both Zverev and Medvedev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev dropped 1 set, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Medvedev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Zverev played 2 games more than Medvedev. Zverev scored 82 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 71 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Medvedev
Aces	11	14
Avg per match	5.5	7
1st in	113/149	94/149
%1st in	76%	63%
1st pts	82/113	71/94
%1st pts	73%	76%
2nd pts	26/36	29/55
%2nd pts	72%	53%

Zverev struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Medvedev scored 14 aces (7 per match). Zverev won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Medvedev
Won	8	6
Converted	8/17	6/14
% Converted	47%	43%
Conceded	5	8
Saved	3	6
% Saved	60%	75%
Times Broken	2	2

Alexander broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alexander lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R2 Ugo	R3 Davidovich Fokina	Total
Score	6-75 6-1 7-5	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	32	18	50
pts	110-91	68-51	178-142
Total points	201	119	320
Winners	51	31	82
%Winners	46%	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	7	4	11
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	69/92	44/57	113/149
% 1st in	75%	77%	76%
1st pts	51/69	31/44	82/113
% 1st pts	74%	70%	73%
2nd pts	18/23	8/13	26/36
% 2nd pts	78%	62%	72%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/6	4/11	8/17
Converted %	67%	36%	47%
Conceded	1	4	5
Saved	0/1	3/4	3
Saved %	0%	75%	38%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Medvedev
	R1 Munar Clar	R2 Dimitrov	R3 Sonego	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	w/o	3-6 7-65 6-4
Tot Set	2	–	3	5
Tot Games	16	–	32	48
pts	58-40	–	102-105	160-145
Total points	98	–	207	305
Winners	29	–	42	71
%Winners	50%	–	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	–	8	14
Double Faults	3	–	4	7
1st in	36/53	–	58/96	94/149
% 1st in	68%	–	60%	63%
1st pts	29/36	–	42/58	71/94
% 1st pts	81%	–	72%	76%
2nd pts	7/17	–	22/38	29/55
% 2nd pts	41%	–	58%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	–	2	6
Converted	4/7	–	2/7	6/14
Converted %	57%	–	29%	43%
Conceded	0	–	8	8
Saved	0/0	–	6/8	6
Saved %	–	–	75%	38%
Times Broken	0	–	2	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Andrey RublevRublev (7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Taylor FritzFritz (7-6⁵ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (14-7) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction