Maya Joint and Himeno Sakatsume will play each other in the quarter of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maya Joint who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maya Joint is the pick to win this match.
Maya Joint -> 1.31
Himeno Sakatsume -> 3.44

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Prediction and head to head Maya Joint vs. Himeno Sakatsume

There is no head to head record between Maya Joint and Himeno Sakatsume since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Maya Joint

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Maya reached the quarter after defeating Anastasija Sevastova 2-6 6-4 6-3 and Viktoria Morvayova 6-1 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Morvayova (6-1 6-4). During the match, Joint scored 64 points vs Morvayova’s 44. Maya was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Joint scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Maya Joint was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Morvayova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 1 set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.

Joint has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 66% of her matches (127-66). 29-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Joint has an overall73-42 record in the last 4 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rabat where she beat Jaqueline Cristian in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she beat Alexandra Eala in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(10).

Joint has an overall 51-27 win-loss record in 2025, 29-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Joint has never competed in this tournament before.

Himeno Sakatsume

Ranked no. 228, Himeno got to the quarter after defeating Anastasia Kulikova 6-2 6-3, Miho Kuramochi 6-0 6-1, Sofia Kenin 6-2 6-1 and Eudice Wong Chong 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Sakatsume had a good straight sets win against Wong Chong (6-2 6-1). During the match Sakatsume scored 61 points vs Wong Chong’s 34. Sakatsume was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Sakatsume scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Himeno Sakatsume lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sakatsume put 61% of her first serves in, winning 79% (27/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Himeno broke Wong Chong 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 63% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W50 Saskatoon where she overcame Anca Alexia Todoni in the final 7-6(1) 6-3.

Himeno has an aggregate 41-22 win-loss record in 2025, 29-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Himeno has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Joint	Sakatsume
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	44	60
Pts	64-44	245-146
Total Points	108	391
Winners	22	106
%Winners	34%	43%

Joint played 2 matches while Sakatsume competed in 4 matches. Sakatsume started her run from the qualifications while Joint had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Maya Joint lost 1 set while Himeno Sakatsume hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Joint has played 3 set(s) less than Sakatsume (5 vs 8). Therefore, Joint played 16 games less than Sakatsume. Maya scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Himeno scored 106 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Joint	Sakatsume
Aces	1	13
Avg per match	0.5	3.3
1st in	31/51	140/213
%1st in	61%	66%
1st pts	22/31	106/140
%1st pts	71%	76%
2nd pts	11/20	31/73
%2nd pts	55%	42%

Joint made 1 ace (0.5 per match). Sakatsume also blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Joint won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Sakatsume won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Joint	Sakatsume
Won	5	21
Converted	5/11	21/35
% Converted	45%	60%
Conceded	5	11
Saved	3	6
% Saved	60%	55%
Times Broken	2	5

Maya broke her opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Joint dropped her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Sakatsume broke her opponents 21 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.

Joint
	R1 Sevastova	R2 Morvayova	Total
Score	2-6 6-4 6-3	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	27	17	44
pts	–	64-44	64-44
Total points	0	108	108
Winners		22	22
%Winners	0%	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults		3	3
1st in	/	31/51	31/51
% 1st in	0%	61%	61%
1st pts	/	22/31	22/31
% 1st pts	0%	71%	71%
2nd pts	/	11/20	11/20
% 2nd pts	0%	55%	55%
Breaks
Won		5	5
Converted	/	5/11	5/11
Converted %	0%	45%	45%
Conceded		5	5
Saved	0/	3/5	3
Saved %	–	60%	30%
Times Broken		2	2

Sakatsume
	Q1 Kulikova	Q3 Kuramochi	R1 Kenin	R2 Wong Chong	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-0 6-1	6-2 6-1	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	13	15	15	60
pts	64-44	53-21	67-47	61-34	245-146
Total points	108	74	114	95	391
Winners	33	22	24	27	106
%Winners	52%	42%	36%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	7	0	5	1	13
Double Faults	4	2	4	1	11
1st in	40/58	27/42	39/57	34/56	140/213
% 1st in	69%	64%	68%	61%	66%
1st pts	33/40	22/27	24/39	27/34	106/140
% 1st pts	83%	81%	62%	79%	76%
2nd pts	6/18	9/15	6/18	10/22	31/73
% 2nd pts	33%	60%	33%	45%	42%
Breaks
Won	4	5	7	5	21
Converted	4/9	5/6	7/14	5/6	21/35
Converted %	44%	83%	50%	83%	60%
Conceded	2	0	6	3	11
Saved	1/2	0/0	3/6	2/3	6
Saved %	50%	–	50%	67%	84%
Times Broken	1	0	3	1	5

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

• Norbert GombosGombos – Zhe LiLi (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Cem IlkelIlkel (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel NguyenNguyen – Antoine HoangHoang (7-6⁵ 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Brayden SchnurSchnur – Maxime CressyCressy (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hans Hach Verdugo/Dennis NovikovHach Verdugo/Dennis Novikov – Gabriel Diallo/Nicaise MuambaDiallo/Nicaise Muamba (6-3 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Belinda BencicBencic – Yafan WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Himeno SakatsumeSakatsume – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction