Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 3^rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.52
Karen Khachanov -> 2.52

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 4^th time that Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Khachanov won 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in Vienna back in 2024.

Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur – Vienna 26-October-2024

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), De Minaur reached the 3^rd round after defeating Gabriel Diallo 7-6(8) 4-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian defeated Diallo (7-6⁸ 4-6 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 105 points vs Diallo’s 97. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 51% of his first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (29/47) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Diallo 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (413-225). 11-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a composed 78-46 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

The Australian has an aggregate 54-20 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 14, Karen got to the 3^rd round after defeating Ethan Quinn 6-1 6-1 and Joao Fonseca 6-1 3-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian defeated Fonseca (6-1 3-6 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 80 points vs Fonseca’s 67. Khachanov was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Khachanov bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karen broke Fonseca 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Khachanov’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Toronto.

Karen has a compiled 32-23 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2018. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Khachanov
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	32	39
Pts	105-97	134-95
Total Points	202	229
Winners	31	58
%Winners	30%	43%

De Minaur played 1 match while Khachanov competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur lost 1 set, while Karen Khachanov conceded 1 set. De Minaur has played 2 set(s) less than Khachanov (3 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 7 games less than Khachanov. De Minaur scored 31 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov managed to score 58 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Khachanov
Aces	3	10
Avg per match	3	5
1st in	48/95	74/107
%1st in	51%	69%
1st pts	31/48	58/74
%1st pts	65%	78%
2nd pts	29/47	20/33
%2nd pts	62%	61%

De Minaur recorded 3 aces . Khachanov recorded 10 aces (5 per match). De Minaur won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Khachanov
Won	4	8
Converted	4/10	8/17
% Converted	40%	47%
Conceded	9	1
Saved	5	0
% Saved	56%	0%
Times Broken	4	1

Alex broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. De Minaur surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R2 Diallo	Total
Score	7-68 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	105-97	105-97
Total points	202	202
Winners	31	31
%Winners	30%	30%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	48/95	48/95
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	31/48	31/48
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	29/47	29/47
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	5/9	5
Saved %	56%	56%
Times Broken	4	4

Khachanov
	R1 Quinn	R2 Fonseca	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-1 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	14	25	39
pts	54-28	80-67	134-95
Total points	82	147	229
Winners	19	39	58
%Winners	35%	49%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	8	10
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	25/39	49/68	74/107
% 1st in	64%	72%	69%
1st pts	19/25	39/49	58/74
% 1st pts	76%	80%	78%
2nd pts	10/14	10/19	20/33
% 2nd pts	71%	53%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/7	3/10	8/17
Converted %	71%	30%	47%
Conceded	0	1	1
Saved	0/0	0/1	0
Saved %	–	0%	0%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (5-7 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-7⁹ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-5 1-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-6⁸ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-7⁵ 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (w/o) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-6(8) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexander BublikBublik (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction