Taylor Fritz and Alexander Bublik will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.48
Alexander Bublik -> 2.64

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 7th time that Taylor Fritz and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Fritz won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2024.

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz

52 - 21win/loss

Hard
31-12
I Hard
5-3
Clay
3-4
Grass
13-2
Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Taylor got to the 3rd round after beating Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(4) 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Vukic (7-64 6-2). During the match, Fritz scored 79 points vs Vukic’s 62. Fritz was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fritz scored 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Taylor Fritz was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fritz broke Vukic twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (414-239). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an aggregate 61-44 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Taylor has a composed 52-20 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Fritz's Record

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

47 - 22win/loss

Hard
12-11
I Hard
7-4
Clay
23-6
Grass
5-1
Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Bublik reached the 3rd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 6-3 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-3 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 73 points vs Moutet’s 62. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Bublik was very effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Moutet twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he defeated Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).

Bublik has an aggregate 46-22 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.

Paris
Bublik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Fritz
A.Bublik
1h:35
1h:35
Time on court​
!
2h:50
2h:50
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:36
1h:36
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
21
21
Games Played​
40
40
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
79
79
Total points​
134
134
79
79
Avg point​
67
67
32
32
Winners
66
66
32
32
Avg Winners​
33
33
41%
41%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
19
19
!
12
12
Avg Aces
9.5
9.5
5
5
Double Faults
6
6
5
5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
32/41
32/41
1st won total​
66/79
66/79
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
18/31
18/31
2nd won total​
22/49
22/49
58%
58%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
2/6
2/6
BP won
5/15
5/15
2/6
2/6
Avg BP won
2.5/7.5
2.5/7.5
33%
33%
Won
33%
33%
3
3
Conceded
5
5
3
3
Avg Conceded
2.5
2.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
3
3
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fritz Bublik
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 21 40
Pts 79-62 134-116
Total Points 141 250
Winners 32 66
%Winners 41% 49%

Fritz played 1 match while Bublik competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Fritz has played 2 set(s) less than Bublik (2 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 19 games less than Bublik. Taylor scored 32 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik made 66 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fritz Bublik
Aces 12 19
Avg per match 12 9.5
1st in 41/72 79/128
%1st in 57% 62%
1st pts 32/41 66/79
%1st pts 78% 84%
2nd pts 18/31 22/49
%2nd pts 58% 45%

Fritz scored 12 aces . Bublik managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Fritz won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fritz Bublik
Won 2 5
Converted 2/6 5/15
% Converted 33% 33%
Conceded 3 5
Saved 3 4
% Saved 100% 80%
Times Broken 0 1

Fritz broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Taylor pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. Bublik broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
R2
Vukic
Total
Score 7-64 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 79-62 79-62
Total points 141 141
Winners 32 32
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 41/72 41/72
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 32/41 32/41
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 18/31 18/31
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/6 2/6
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Bublik
R1
Popyrin
R2
Moutet
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 21 40
pts 61-54 73-62 134-116
Total points 115 135 250
Winners 32 34 66
%Winners 52% 47% 49%
SERVE
Aces 13 6 19
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 36/58 43/70 79/128
% 1st in 62% 61% 62%
1st pts 32/36 34/43 66/79
% 1st pts 89% 79% 84%
2nd pts 7/22 15/27 22/49
% 2nd pts 32% 56% 45%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/10 5/15
Converted % 60% 20% 33%
Conceded 4 1 5
Saved 3/4 1/1 4
Saved % 75% 100% 175%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw