Taylor Fritz and Alexander Bublik will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.48
Alexander Bublik -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 7th time that Taylor Fritz and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Fritz won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2024.
Taylor Fritz
52 - 21win/loss
6
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 31-12 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 13-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Taylor got to the 3rd round after beating Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(4) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Vukic (7-64 6-2). During the match, Fritz scored 79 points vs Vukic’s 62. Fritz was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz scored 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Taylor Fritz was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fritz broke Vukic twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (414-239). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an aggregate 61-44 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.
Taylor has a composed 52-20 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alexander Bublik
47 - 22win/loss
11
11
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Bublik reached the 3rd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-3 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 73 points vs Moutet’s 62. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Bublik was very effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bublik broke Moutet twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he defeated Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).
Bublik has an aggregate 46-22 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 40 |
| Pts | 79-62 | 134-116 |
| Total Points | 141 | 250 |
| Winners | 32 | 66 |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% |
Fritz played 1 match while Bublik competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Fritz has played 2 set(s) less than Bublik (2 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 19 games less than Bublik. Taylor scored 32 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik made 66 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 41/72 | 79/128 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 66/79 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 22/49 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 45% |
Fritz scored 12 aces . Bublik managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Fritz won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Fritz broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Taylor pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. Bublik broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R2 Vukic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 79-62 | 79-62 | |
| Total points | 141 | 141 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/72 | 41/72 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 32/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | ||||
| R1 Popyrin | R2 Moutet | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 61-54 | 73-62 | 134-116 | |
| Total points | 115 | 135 | 250 | |
| Winners | 32 | 34 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 47% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 43/70 | 79/128 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 32/36 | 34/43 | 66/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 79% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/22 | 15/27 | 22/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 56% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/10 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 20% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 175% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Paris
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (5-7 7-65 7-64) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-79 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-5 1-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-68 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-75 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (w/o) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-6(8) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexander BublikBublik (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction