Ben Shelton and Andrey Rublev will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.83
Andrey Rublev -> 1.97

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 2^nd time that Ben Shelton and Andrey Rublev face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Shelton won 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 in the quarter in Basel back in 2024.

Highlights Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev – Basel 25-October-2024

Ben Shelton

Ranked no. 7, Shelton reached the 3^rd round after defeating Flavio Cobolli 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Shelton had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (7-6⁴ 6-3). During the match, Shelton scored 70 points vs Cobolli’s 58. Shelton was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shelton bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ben Shelton was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ben broke Cobolli once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Shelton has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (167-90). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has an overall42-13 win-loss record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Toronto where he defeated Karen Khachanov in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3).

The American has a composed 39-20 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 17, Rublev got to the 3^rd round after defeating Jacob Fearnley 6-1 6-4 and Learner Tien 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-4 6-4). During the match Rublev scored 68 points vs Tien’s 60. Rublev was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Rublev managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 59% of his first serves in, winning 87% (34/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Tien 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rublev hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Rublev has an aggregate 34-24 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shelton	Rublev
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	22	37
Pts	70-58	137-108
Total Points	128	245
Winners	37	54
%Winners	53%	39%

Shelton played 1 match while Rublev competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Shelton has played 2 set(s) less than Rublev (2 vs 4). Therefore, Shelton played 15 games less than Rublev. The American scored 37 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev struck 54 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shelton	Rublev
Aces	3	10
Avg per match	3	5
1st in	43/64	67/114
%1st in	67%	59%
1st pts	37/43	54/67
%1st pts	86%	81%
2nd pts	15/21	23/47
%2nd pts	71%	49%

Shelton struck 3 aces . Rublev struck 10 aces (5 per match). Shelton won 86% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shelton	Rublev
Won	1	8
Converted	1/3	8/17
% Converted	33%	47%
Conceded	1	12
Saved	1	10
% Saved	100%	83%
Times Broken	0	2

The American broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Ben was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
	R2 Cobolli	Total
Score	7-64 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	70-58	70-58
Total points	128	128
Winners	37	37
%Winners	53%	53%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	43/64	43/64
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	37/43	37/43
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	15/21	15/21
% 2nd pts	71%	71%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/3	1/3
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Rublev
	R1 Fearnley	R2 Tien	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	20	37
pts	69-48	68-60	137-108
Total points	117	128	245
Winners	20	34	54
%Winners	29%	50%	39%
SERVE
Aces	3	7	10
Double Faults	2	7	9
1st in	28/48	39/66	67/114
% 1st in	58%	59%	59%
1st pts	20/28	34/39	54/67
% 1st pts	71%	87%	81%
2nd pts	13/20	10/27	23/47
% 2nd pts	65%	37%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/10	3/7	8/17
Converted %	50%	43%	47%
Conceded	3	9	12
Saved	2/3	8/9	10
Saved %	67%	89%	156%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (5-7 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-5 1-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-7⁹ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (w/o) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-7⁵ 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-7(9) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (w/o) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur CazauxCazaux (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-7(5) 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-5 1-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander BublikBublik (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction