Cameron Norrie and Valentin Vacherot will face off in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Vacherot who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Valentin Vacherot is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Vacherot -> 1.85
Cameron Norrie -> 1.95

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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Valentin Vacherot

There is no head to head record between Cameron Norrie and Valentin Vacherot since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie

35 - 27win/loss

Hard
11-15
I Hard
6-2
Clay
14-7
Grass
4-3
Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0

Ranked no. 31, Norrie got to the 3rd round after beating Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Alcaraz, Cameron recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 101 points vs Alcaraz’s 86. Norrie was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Norrie made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cameron Norrie was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cameron broke Alcaraz twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (347-225). 6-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has a compiled 47-44 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Cameron’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Geneva.

Norrie has an aggregate 35-27 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Norrie's Record

Valentin Vacherot

Valentin Vacherot

44 - 23win/loss

Hard
18-9
I Hard
2-1
Clay
24-12
Grass
0-1
Rank
31
High
30
LWWWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-24 18-9 24-12 3-2 0-1 0-0
2024 34-13 19-3 15-9 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 55-32 6-4 49-25 0-3 0-0 0-0
2022 46-22 27-12 18-8 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 39-14 36-8 2-4 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 40, Vacherot got to the 3rd round after beating Jiri Lehecka 6-1 6-3 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-7(9) 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Rinderknech, The Monegasque recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-3 6-4). During the match Vacherot scored 113 points vs Rinderknech’s 104. The Monegasque was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Vacherot fired 6 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Valentin Vacherot was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (42/56) of his 1st serve and 58% (30/52) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Monegasque broke Rinderknech 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vacherot has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Shanghai where he defeated Arthur Rinderknech in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3.

Vacherot has a compiled 44-23 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Valentin has never competed in this tournament before.

Paris
Vacherot's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Norrie
V.Vacherot
3h:46
3h:46
Time on court​
3h:48
3h:48
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
!
2h:54
2h:54
2
2
Match played
2
2
48
48
Games Played​
48
48
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
165
165
Total points​
166
166
82.5
82.5
Avg point​
83
83
75
75
Winners
62
62
37.5
37.5
Avg Winners​
31
31
45%
45%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
13
13
3
3
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
3
3
Double Faults
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
75/103
75/103
1st won total​
62/80
62/80
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
33/62
33/62
2nd won total​
42/67
42/67
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
9/16
9/16
3/6.5
3/6.5
Avg BP won
4.5/8
4.5/8
46%
46%
Won
!
56%
56%
12
12
Conceded
13
13
6
6
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
3
3
Broken
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1
1
9
9
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Norrie Vacherot
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 48 48
Pts 165-143 166-135
Total Points 308 301
Winners 75 62
%Winners 45% 37%

Both Norrie and Vacherot played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie surrendered 1 set, while Valentin Vacherot conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Norrie and Vacherot have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (48). Norrie scored 75 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Monegasque blasted 62 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Norrie Vacherot
Aces 6 13
Avg per match 3 6.5
1st in 103/165 80/147
%1st in 62% 54%
1st pts 75/103 62/80
%1st pts 73% 78%
2nd pts 33/62 42/67
%2nd pts 53% 63%

Norrie managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Vacherot recorded 13 aces (6.5 per match). Norrie won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Norrie Vacherot
Won 6 9
Converted 6/13 9/16
% Converted 46% 56%
Conceded 12 13
Saved 9 11
% Saved 75% 85%
Times Broken 3 2

The Brit broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Cameron lost his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Valentin broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Monegasque conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.

Norrie
R1
Baez
R2
Alcaraz
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 29 48
pts 64-57 101-86 165-143
Total points 121 187 308
Winners 34 41 75
%Winners 53% 41% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 6
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 51/73 52/92 103/165
% 1st in 70% 57% 62%
1st pts 34/51 41/52 75/103
% 1st pts 67% 79% 73%
2nd pts 9/22 24/40 33/62
% 2nd pts 41% 60% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 2 6
Converted 4/6 2/7 6/13
Converted % 67% 29% 46%
Conceded 7 5 12
Saved 5/7 4/5 9
Saved % 71% 80% 76%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Vacherot
R1
Lehecka
R2
Rinderknech
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-79 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 32 48
pts 53-31 113-104 166-135
Total points 84 217 301
Winners 20 42 62
%Winners 38% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 7 6 13
Double Faults 2 8 10
1st in 24/39 56/108 80/147
% 1st in 62% 52% 54%
1st pts 20/24 42/56 62/80
% 1st pts 83% 75% 78%
2nd pts 12/15 30/52 42/67
% 2nd pts 80% 58% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/5 5/11 9/16
Converted % 80% 45% 56%
Conceded 0 13 13
Saved 0/0 11/13 11
Saved % 85% 43%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw