Martin Damm and Keegan Smith will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Charlottesville Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Martin Damm who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Martin Damm is the pick to win this match.
Martin Damm -> 1.39
Keegan Smith -> 2.72

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Martin Damm vs. Keegan Smith

This will be the 2^nd time that Martin Damm and Keegan Smith face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Smith won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2 in the quarter in M25 Bakersfield back in 2022.

Martin Damm

Ranked no. 191, Damm got to the 2^nd round after defeating Charles Broom 6-3 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Damm had a good straight sets win against Broom (6-3 6-3). During the match, Damm scored 55 points vs Broom’s 43. Damm was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Damm scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Martin Damm was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Broom 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Damm has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (185-128). 13-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Damm has an aggregate43-30 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Martin’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi,M15 Vaasa,M25 Elvas,the Columbus Challenger and the Lincoln Challenger.

Martin has an overall 49-19 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger

Keegan Smith

Ranked no. 521, Smith got to the 2^nd round after defeating Noah Schachter 6-4 6-3, Dan Martin 6-4 6-2 and Darwin Blanch 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round against Blanch, Keegan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Smith scored 89 points vs Blanch’s 75. Keegan was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Smith recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 75% of his first serves in, winning 64% (39/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the 2nd serve. Keegan broke Blanch 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Keegan’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 San Diego and M15 Fayetteville.

Smith has a composed 37-18 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Damm	Smith
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	18	64
Pts	55-43	220-171
Total Points	98	391
Winners	24	103
%Winners	44%	47%

Damm played 1 match while Smith competed in 3 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Damm had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Keegan Smith lost 1 set while Martin Damm hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Damm has played 5 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 7). Therefore, Damm played 46 games less than Smith. The American scored 24 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan recorded 103 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Damm	Smith
Aces	8	22
Avg per match	8	7.3
1st in	28/48	142/185
%1st in	58%	77%
1st pts	24/28	103/142
%1st pts	86%	73%
2nd pts	12/20	30/43
%2nd pts	60%	70%

Damm blasted 8 aces . Smith fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Damm won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Damm	Smith
Won	3	9
Converted	3/6	9/23
% Converted	50%	39%
Conceded	0	8
Saved	0	6
% Saved	0%	75%
Times Broken	0	2

Martin broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Martin extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Keegan broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Keegan conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Damm
	R1 Broom	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	55-43	55-43
Total points	98	98
Winners	24	24
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	28/48	28/48
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	24/28	24/28
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	12/20	12/20
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Smith
	Q1 Schachter	Q3 Martin	R1 Blanch	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-4 6-2	4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	18	27	64
pts	73-58	58-38	89-75	220-171
Total points	131	96	164	391
Winners	32	32	39	103
%Winners	44%	55%	44%	47%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	5	22
Double Faults	0	1	2	3
1st in	42/56	39/48	61/81	142/185
% 1st in	75%	81%	75%	77%
1st pts	32/42	32/39	39/61	103/142
% 1st pts	76%	82%	64%	73%
2nd pts	9/14	6/9	15/20	30/43
% 2nd pts	64%	67%	75%	70%
Breaks
Won	2	3	4	9
Converted	2/7	3/7	4/9	9/23
Converted %	29%	43%	44%	39%
Conceded	1	0	7	8
Saved	1/1	0/0	5/7	6
Saved %	100%	–	71%	171%
Times Broken	0	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Charlottesville Challenger

• Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Liam DraxlDraxl (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Cannon KingsleyKingsley – Justin BoulaisBoulais (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Max WiskandtWiskandt (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-4 6-7⁵ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Johannus MondayMonday – Ronit KarkiKarki (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Dylan DietrichDietrich – Alfredo PerezPerez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Keegan SmithSmith – Darwin BlanchBlanch (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Max WiskandtWiskandt (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Jay ClarkeClarke – Tyler ZinkZink (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Inaki Montes-De La TorreMontes-De La Torre – Andre IlaganIlagan (5-7 7-6¹ 6-4) – See score progression
• Oliver TarvetTarvet – Nicolas MejiaMejia (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Martin DammDamm – Charles BroomBroom (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Keegan SmithSmith – Darwin BlanchBlanch (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Max WiskandtWiskandt (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Dylan DietrichDietrich – Alfredo PerezPerez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Johannus MondayMonday – Ronit KarkiKarki (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Cannon KingsleyKingsley – Justin BoulaisBoulais (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh – Liam DraxlDraxl (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Dhakshineswar SureshSuresh (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – Patrick ZahrajZahraj (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Keegan SmithSmith – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Matias SotoSoto (0-0) – H2H and prediction