Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.7
Joao Fonseca -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca

There is no head to head record between Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

31 - 23win/loss

Hard
13-11
I Hard
1-3
Clay
9-6
Grass
8-3
Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 14, Karen got to the 2nd round after beating Ethan Quinn 6-1 6-1.

In the 1st round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-1 6-1). During the match, Khachanov scored 54 points vs Quinn’s 28. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Khachanov struck 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Karen Khachanov was quite effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Quinn 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Khachanov has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (347-237). 1-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has an overall 79-57 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Khachanov’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Toronto.

Karen has a compiled 31-23 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Khachanov's Record

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca

39 - 16win/loss

Hard
22-6
I Hard
6-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
24
High
24
LWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-17 22-6 8-5 6-3 3-3 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 28 (career-high), Fonseca reached the 2nd round after defeating Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round against Shapovalov, Fonseca recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Fonseca scored 99 points vs Shapovalov’s 83. Joao was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Fonseca bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 72% of his first serves in, winning 77% (53/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Shapovalov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0) and in Basel where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 6-4.

Fonseca has a composed 39-16 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Joao has never competed in this tournament before.

Paris
Fonseca's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

K.Khachanov
J.Fonseca
1h:00
1h:00
Time on court​
!
2h:04
2h:04
1h:00
1h:00
Last match​
!
2h:04
2h:04
1
1
Match played
1
1
14
14
Games Played​
31
31
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
54
54
Total points​
99
99
54
54
Avg point​
99
99
19
19
Winners
53
53
19
19
Avg Winners​
53
53
35%
35%
Ratio winners
54%
54%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
2
2
2
2
Avg Aces
2
2
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
2
2
19/25
19/25
1st won total​
53/69
53/69
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
10/14
10/14
2nd won total​
12/27
12/27
!
71%
71%
2nd won %
44%
44%
-- Break Points --
5/7
5/7
BP won
4/6
4/6
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
!
71%
71%
Won
!
67%
67%
0
0
Conceded
7
7
0
0
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
0
0
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Fonseca
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 14 31
Pts 54-28 99-83
Total Points 82 182
Winners 19 53
%Winners 35% 54%

Both Khachanov and Fonseca played 1 match. At the moment, Joao Fonseca dropped 1 set while Karen Khachanov hasn’t lost a set so far. Khachanov has played 1 set(s) less than Fonseca (2 vs 3). Therefore, Khachanov played 17 games less than Fonseca. Khachanov scored 19 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian made 53 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Fonseca
Aces 2 2
Avg per match 2 2
1st in 25/39 69/96
%1st in 64% 72%
1st pts 19/25 53/69
%1st pts 76% 77%
2nd pts 10/14 12/27
%2nd pts 71% 44%

Khachanov managed to score 2 aces . Fonseca scored 2 aces . Khachanov won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Fonseca
Won 5 4
Converted 5/7 4/6
% Converted 71% 67%
Conceded 0 7
Saved 0 5
% Saved 0% 71%
Times Broken 0 2

Khachanov broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Russian pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Fonseca broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R1
Quinn
Total
Score 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 14 14
pts 54-28 54-28
Total points 82 82
Winners 19 19
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 25/39 25/39
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 19/25 19/25
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 10/14 10/14
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/7 5/7
Converted % 71% 71%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Fonseca
R1
Shapovalov
Total
Score 5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 99-83 99-83
Total points 182 182
Winners 53 53
%Winners 54% 54%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 69/96 69/96
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 53/69 53/69
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 12/27 12/27
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw