Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca will face off in the 2^nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.7
Joao Fonseca -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca

There is no head to head record between Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 14, Karen reached the 2^nd round after defeating Ethan Quinn 6-1 6-1.

In the 1^st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-1 6-1). During the match, Khachanov scored 54 points vs Quinn’s 28. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov fired 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Karen Khachanov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Quinn 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Khachanov has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (347-237). 1-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has a compiled 79-57 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Khachanov’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Toronto.

Karen has a composed 31-23 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Joao Fonseca

Ranked no. 28 (career-high), Fonseca reached the 2^nd round after defeating Denis Shapovalov 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the 1^st round against Shapovalov, Fonseca recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Fonseca scored 99 points vs Shapovalov’s 83. Fonseca was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Fonseca fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 72% of his first serves in, winning 77% (53/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Shapovalov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he defeated Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0) and in Basel where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Brazilian has a compiled 39-16 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Fonseca has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Khachanov	Fonseca
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	14	31
Pts	54-28	99-83
Total Points	82	182
Winners	19	53
%Winners	35%	54%

Both Khachanov and Fonseca played 1 match. At the moment, Joao Fonseca conceded 1 set while Karen Khachanov hasn’t lost a set so far. Khachanov has played 1 set(s) less than Fonseca (2 vs 3). Therefore, Khachanov played 17 games less than Fonseca. Karen scored 19 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian fired 53 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Khachanov	Fonseca
Aces	2	2
Avg per match	2	2
1st in	25/39	69/96
%1st in	64%	72%
1st pts	19/25	53/69
%1st pts	76%	77%
2nd pts	10/14	12/27
%2nd pts	71%	44%

Khachanov bagged 2 aces . Fonseca managed to score 2 aces . Khachanov won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Khachanov	Fonseca
Won	5	4
Converted	5/7	4/6
% Converted	71%	67%
Conceded	0	7
Saved	0	5
% Saved	0%	71%
Times Broken	0	2

Khachanov broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Karen was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Fonseca broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Fonseca conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
	R1 Quinn	Total
Score	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	54-28	54-28
Total points	82	82
Winners	19	19
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	25/39	25/39
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	19/25	19/25
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	10/14	10/14
% 2nd pts	71%	71%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Fonseca
	R1 Shapovalov	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	99-83	99-83
Total points	182	182
Winners	53	53
%Winners	54%	54%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	69/96	69/96
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	53/69	53/69
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	12/27	12/27
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	5/7	5
Saved %	71%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Ben SheltonShelton – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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