Alex De Minaur and Gabriel Diallo will play each other in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.23
Gabriel Diallo -> 4.15

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Gabriel Diallo

This will be the 2nd time that Alex De Minaur and Gabriel Diallo face off. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, De Minaur won 6-4 7-5 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2023.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

53 - 20win/loss

Hard
30-11
I Hard
10-2
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 6 (career-high), De Minaur will start his run in Paris after he played his last match in Vienna where he lost 6-3 6-4 to Sinner in the semifinal on the 25th of October.

The Australian has an aggregate 53-20 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Talking about his overall career, Alex has an overall 418-228 record. He has a positive 77-46 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Paris
De Minaur's Record

Gabriel Diallo

Gabriel Diallo

37 - 28win/loss

Hard
16-15
I Hard
4-3
Clay
8-7
Grass
9-3
Rank
41
High
33
LWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-29 16-15 8-7 4-4 9-3 0-0
2024 49-26 30-12 7-6 9-4 3-4 0-0
2023 39-28 8-11 2-2 24-10 5-5 0-0
2022 23-10 17-6 0-0 6-4 0-0 0-0
2021 12-4 8-3 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 42, Gabriel reached the 2nd round after defeating Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-3 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 63 points vs Griekspoor’s 44. Gabriel was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Diallo bagged 11 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gabriel Diallo was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Griekspoor twice.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hertogenbosch where he beat Zizou Bergs in the final 7-5 7-6(8).

Diallo has a composed 37-28 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Gabriel has never competed in this tournament before.

Paris
Diallo's Record

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw