Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.55
Corentin Moutet -> 2.44

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 4th time that Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Bublik won 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 in the quarter in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2025.

Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Corentin Moutet – Phoenix Challenger 14-March-2025

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

45 - 22win/loss

Hard
12-11
I Hard
5-4
Clay
23-6
Grass
5-1
Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 16 (career-high), the Kazakhstani got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-4 6-3). During the match, Bublik scored 61 points vs Popyrin’s 54. Bublik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bublik managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 62% of his first serves in, winning 89% (32/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (7/22) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Bublik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (366-264). 5-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has an aggregate 104-61 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he defeated Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 45-22 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Bublik's Record

Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet

41 - 27win/loss

Hard
15-12
I Hard
7-2
Clay
10-9
Grass
9-4
Rank
35
High
31
LLLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-30 15-12 10-9 7-5 9-4 0-0
2024 31-26 4-6 22-15 4-4 1-1 0-0
2023 19-25 5-10 3-6 7-4 4-5 0-0
2022 40-21 13-6 20-8 7-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-16 8-4 5-8 3-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Moutet reached the 2nd round after beating Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-1.

In the 1st round against Opelka, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Moutet scored 85 points vs Opelka’s 76. Corentin was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Moutet made 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Corentin Moutet was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 72% (23/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moutet broke Opelka 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Corentin’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Mallorca and Almaty.

The French player has a compiled 41-27 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.

Paris
Moutet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Bublik
C.Moutet
1h:14
1h:14
Time on court​
!
2h:07
2h:07
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
!
2h:07
2h:07
1
1
Match played
1
1
19
19
Games Played​
28
28
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
61
61
Total points​
85
85
61
61
Avg point​
85
85
32
32
Winners
30
30
32
32
Avg Winners​
30
30
52%
52%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
5
5
!
13
13
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
5
5
4
4
Avg Double Faults
5
5
32/36
32/36
1st won total​
30/40
30/40
!
89%
89%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
7/22
7/22
2nd won total​
23/32
23/32
!
32%
32%
2nd won %
!
72%
72%
-- Break Points --
3/5
3/5
BP won
3/8
3/8
3/5
3/5
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
!
60%
60%
Won
38%
38%
4
4
Conceded
1
1
4
4
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bublik Moutet
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 19 28
Pts 61-54 85-76
Total Points 115 161
Winners 32 30
%Winners 52% 35%

Both Bublik and Moutet played 1 match. At the moment, Corentin Moutet surrendered 1 set while Alexander Bublik hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set(s) less than Moutet (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bublik played 9 games less than Moutet. Alexander scored 32 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin made 30 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bublik Moutet
Aces 13 5
Avg per match 13 5
1st in 36/58 40/72
%1st in 62% 56%
1st pts 32/36 30/40
%1st pts 89% 75%
2nd pts 7/22 23/32
%2nd pts 32% 72%

Bublik recorded 13 aces . Moutet scored 5 aces . Bublik won 89% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 32% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bublik Moutet
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/8
% Converted 60% 38%
Conceded 4 1
Saved 3 0
% Saved 75% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Bublik broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Alexander lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Corentin broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Moutet conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
R1
Popyrin
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 61-54 61-54
Total points 115 115
Winners 32 32
%Winners 52% 52%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 36/58 36/58
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 32/36 32/36
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 7/22 7/22
% 2nd pts 32% 32%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1
Moutet
R1
Opelka
Total
Score 3-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 85-76 85-76
Total points 161 161
Winners 30 30
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 40/72 40/72
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 30/40 30/40
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 23/32 23/32
% 2nd pts 72% 72%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw