Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.55
Corentin Moutet -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Corentin Moutet
This will be the 4th time that Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Bublik won 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 in the quarter in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2025.
Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Corentin Moutet – Phoenix Challenger 14-March-2025
Alexander Bublik
45 - 22win/loss
11
11
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), the Kazakhstani got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-4 6-3). During the match, Bublik scored 61 points vs Popyrin’s 54. Bublik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 62% of his first serves in, winning 89% (32/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (7/22) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Bublik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (366-264). 5-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has an aggregate 104-61 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he overcame Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he defeated Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 45-22 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Corentin Moutet
41 - 27win/loss
35
31
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-30 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 7-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Moutet reached the 2nd round after beating Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round against Opelka, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Moutet scored 85 points vs Opelka’s 76. Corentin was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Moutet made 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Corentin Moutet was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 72% (23/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moutet broke Opelka 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Corentin’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Mallorca and Almaty.
The French player has a compiled 41-27 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 |
| Pts | 61-54 | 85-76 |
| Total Points | 115 | 161 |
| Winners | 32 | 30 |
| %Winners | 52% | 35% |
Both Bublik and Moutet played 1 match. At the moment, Corentin Moutet surrendered 1 set while Alexander Bublik hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set(s) less than Moutet (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bublik played 9 games less than Moutet. Alexander scored 32 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin made 30 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 5 |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 40/72 |
| %1st in | 62% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 32/36 | 30/40 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 7/22 | 23/32 |
| %2nd pts | 32% | 72% |
Bublik recorded 13 aces . Moutet scored 5 aces . Bublik won 89% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 32% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 60% | 38% |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 75% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Bublik broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Alexander lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Corentin broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Moutet conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Popyrin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 61-54 | 61-54 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 36/58 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 32/36 | 32/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/22 | 7/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 32% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Moutet | |||
| R1 Opelka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 85-76 | 85-76 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/72 | 40/72 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Paris
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-72 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Marcos GironGiron (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-65 7-64) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Tomas MachacMachac (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Austin Krajicek/Nikola MekticKrajicek/Nikola Mektic – Sander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 7-67) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-65 7-64) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 1-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-7(2) 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (3-8) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Valentin VacherotVacherot (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Casper RuudRuud (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander BublikBublik (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexandre MullerMuller (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Cameron NorrieNorrie (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction