Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Seoul Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.63
Rio Noguchi -> 2.18

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Rio Noguchi

This will be the 5th time that Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Shimabukuro won 6-3 5-7 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Granby Challenger back in July 2025.

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro

24 - 21win/loss

Hard
21-18
I Hard
0-0
Grass
3-3
Rank
145
High
135
LWWLWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 193, Sho reached the 2nd round after beating Omar Jasika 6-3 5-7 7-6(4).

In the 1st round, The Japanese defeated Jasika (6-3 5-7 7-64). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 113 points vs Jasika’s 111. Shimabukuro was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shimabukuro fired 4 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 61% of his first serves in, winning 77% (46/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Jasika 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Shimabukuro has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (265-167). 21-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shimabukuro has a composed 199-121 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he beat Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5.

Shimabukuro has a compiled 24-21 win-loss record in 2025, 21-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seoul Challenger

Seoul Challenger
Shimabukuro's Record

Rio Noguchi

Rio Noguchi

34 - 26win/loss

Hard
34-26
I Hard
0-0
Rank
242
High
196
LLLWWLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-30 36-30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 41-31 36-22 1-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2023 19-31 12-18 2-7 2-2 3-4 0-0
2022 54-22 41-10 9-9 0-1 4-2 0-0
2021 25-26 18-18 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 252, Rio reached the 2nd round after defeating James Duckworth 1-6 7-5 6-3.

In the 1st round against Duckworth, Rio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-3). During the match Noguchi scored 84 points vs Duckworth’s 79. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Noguchi blasted 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Duckworth 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he beat Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

Rio has an aggregate 34-26 win-loss record in 2025, 34-26 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seoul Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.

Seoul Challenger
Noguchi's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Shimabukuro
R.Noguchi
2h:13
2h:13
Time on court​
1h:56
1h:56
!
2h:13
2h:13
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
1
1
Match played
1
1
34
34
Games Played​
28
28
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
113
113
Total points​
84
84
113
113
Avg point​
84
84
46
46
Winners
34
34
46
46
Avg Winners​
34
34
41%
41%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
2
2
4
4
Avg Aces
2
2
9
9
Double Faults
0
0
!
9
9
Avg Double Faults
0
0
46/60
46/60
1st won total​
34/49
34/49
!
77%
77%
1st won %
69%
69%
16/38
16/38
2nd won total​
15/27
15/27
42%
42%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/13
4/13
BP won
4/6
4/6
4/13
4/13
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
31%
31%
Won
!
67%
67%
7
7
Conceded
8
8
7
7
Avg Conceded
8
8
3
3
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
4
4
4
4
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shimabukuro Noguchi
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 28
Pts 113-111 84-79
Total Points 224 163
Winners 46 34
%Winners 41% 40%

Both Shimabukuro and Noguchi played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Sho Shimabukuro lost 1 set, while Rio Noguchi lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Noguchi have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Shimabukuro played 6 games more than Noguchi. Sho scored 46 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 34 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shimabukuro Noguchi
Aces 4 2
Avg per match 4 2
1st in 60/98 49/76
%1st in 61% 64%
1st pts 46/60 34/49
%1st pts 77% 69%
2nd pts 16/38 15/27
%2nd pts 42% 56%

Shimabukuro recorded 4 aces . Noguchi recorded 2 aces . Shimabukuro won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shimabukuro Noguchi
Won 4 4
Converted 4/13 4/6
% Converted 31% 67%
Conceded 7 8
Saved 4 4
% Saved 57% 50%
Times Broken 3 4

Shimabukuro broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Shimabukuro surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Rio broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Noguchi conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Shimabukuro
R1
Jasika		 Total
Score 6-3 5-7 7-64
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 113-111 113-111
Total points 224 224
Winners 46 46
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 60/98 60/98
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 46/60 46/60
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 16/38 16/38
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/13 4/13
Converted % 31% 31%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 4/7 4
Saved % 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3
Noguchi
R1
Duckworth		 Total
Score 1-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 84-79 84-79
Total points 163 163
Winners 34 34
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 49/76 49/76
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 34/49 34/49
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 15/27 15/27
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4

Tennis Scores in Seoul Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Shimabukuro
More Stats
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Noguchi

Click for FULL STATS