Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca will square off in the 1st round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.63
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.27

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Joao Fonseca

This will be the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fonseca (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Fonseca won 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. in the quarter in Basel back in October 2025.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

26 - 21win/loss

Hard
14-11
I Hard
9-2
Clay
2-5
Grass
1-3
Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Denis will start his run in Paris after he played his last match in Basel where he lost 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. to Fonseca in the quarter on the 24th of October.

Denis has an aggregate 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, The Canadian has an overall 335-228 record. He has a positive 86-51 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.

Paris
Shapovalov's Record

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca

38 - 16win/loss

Hard
22-6
I Hard
5-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
24
High
24
LWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-17 22-6 8-5 6-3 3-3 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 28 (career-high), will start his run in Paris after he won the title in Basel after beating 6-3 6-4 Davidovich Fokina in the final.

Fonseca has an aggregate 38-16 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0) and in Basel where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 6-4.

In terms of his career, Joao has an overall 91-49 record. He has a positive 18-7 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Paris

The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.

Paris
Fonseca's Record

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw