Jannik Sinner has a chance to return to the top of the ATP rankings—but only for a fleeting moment. If he wins the Paris Masters and Carlos Alcaraz fails to reach the semifinals, Sinner will surpass him in points and become world No. 1. However, the reign would last just one week, as Sinner is defending 1,000 points from last year’s ATP Finals, which will drop immediately after.
Ranking Breakdown
The current ATP standings show how tight the race is:
-
Carlos Alcaraz – 11,340
-
Jannik Sinner – 10,500
-
Alexander Zverev – 6,160
-
Taylor Fritz – 4,685
-
Novak Djokovic – 4,580
-
Alex de Minaur – 3,935
-
Ben Shelton – 3,820
-
Lorenzo Musetti – 3,685
-
Casper Ruud – 3,235
-
Felix Auger-Aliassime – 3,195
Sinner would gain 1,000 points with a Paris title, reaching 11,500. If Alcaraz loses before the semifinals, he remains at 11,340, giving Sinner a temporary lead.
The ATP Finals Factor
Sinner’s lead would vanish the following week when his ATP Finals points from 2024 drop. Alcaraz, who didn’t play the Finals last year, has no points to defend. Unless Sinner performs strongly in Turin, Alcaraz would reclaim the top spot almost immediately.
A Symbolic Shift
Even if brief, Sinner’s return to No. 1 would mark a milestone in his rise. It would also highlight the volatility at the top of men’s tennis, where every match and tournament can reshape the rankings. With the Paris Masters and ATP Finals approaching, the battle for supremacy is far from over.
ATP Paris - Jannik Sinner's projected path
Jannik Sinner in 2025
Currently the world no.2, Sinner played his last match on the 27th of October when he surrendered to Unknown Player bye in the 1st round in Paris (draw).
At the moment, during this season Sinner owns a 48-6 win-loss record. Sinner has won 4 titles in 2025 at the Australian Open, Wimbledon, Beijing and Vienna. Jannik reached the final in Rome, French Open, Cincinnati and U.S. Open.