Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Joao Fonseca will face off in the final of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.81
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Joao Fonseca

This will be the 2nd time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Joao Fonseca square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fonseca (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Fonseca won 6-7(4) 5-4 ret. in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Cincinnati 09-August-2025

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

42 - 25win/loss

Hard
22-14
I Hard
6-3
Clay
9-6
Grass
5-2
Rank
14
High
14
LWWLWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 44-26 22-14 9-6 8-4 5-2 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0
2021 30-25 4-6 16-7 9-10 1-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the final after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(2) 6-4, Jenson Brooksby 6-7(6) 6-4 7-5, Casper Ruud 7-6(1) ret. and Ugo Humbert 7-6(4) 3-1 ret..

In the semifinal against Humbert, the Spaniard had a free pass after Humbert retired on a 7-64 3-1 . scoreline.

Davidovich Fokina has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (303-218). 6-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 32-35 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Davidovich Fokina’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.

Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 42-24 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Basel
Davidovich Fokina's Record

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca

38 - 16win/loss

Hard
22-6
I Hard
5-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
24
High
24
LWWWWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-17 22-6 8-5 6-3 3-3 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 46, Fonseca reached the final after beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(6) 6-3, Jakub Mensik w/o, Denis Shapovalov 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the semifinal, Joao had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (7-64 7-5). During the match Fonseca scored 83 points vs Munar Clar’s 72. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Fonseca recorded 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Joao Fonseca was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Munar Clar twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he defeated Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he beat Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

Joao has a composed 37-16 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Basel
Fonseca's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Davidovich Fokina
J.Fonseca
7h:06
7h:06
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
1h:54
1h:54
!
4
4
Match played
3
3
88
88
Games Played​
70
70
10
10
Set played​​
8
8
297
297
Total points​
226
226
74.3
74.3
Avg point​
75.3
75.3
139
139
Winners
103
103
34.8
34.8
Avg Winners​
34.3
34.3
47%
47%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
17
17
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
5.7
5.7
9
9
Double Faults
5
5
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
139/179
139/179
1st won total​
103/134
103/134
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
59/105
59/105
2nd won total​
41/72
41/72
56%
56%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
8/24
8/24
BP won
8/15
8/15
2/6
2/6
Avg BP won
2.7/5
2.7/5
33%
33%
Won
!
53%
53%
12
12
Conceded
8
8
3
3
Avg Conceded
2.7
2.7
4
4
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
8
8
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Davidovich Fokina Fonseca
Match played 4 3
Tot Set 10 8
Tot Games 88 70
Pts 239-217 226-197
Total Points 456 423
Winners 110 103
%Winners 46% 46%

Davidovich Fokina played 4 matches while Fonseca competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost 1 set, while Joao Fonseca lost 1 set. Davidovich Fokina has played 2 sets more than Fonseca (10 vs 8). Therefore, Davidovich Fokina played 18 games more than Fonseca. The Spaniard scored 110 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian struck 103 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Davidovich Fokina Fonseca
Aces 10 17
Avg per match 2.5 5.7
1st in 145/226 134/206
%1st in 64% 65%
1st pts 110/145 103/134
%1st pts 76% 77%
2nd pts 45/81 41/72
%2nd pts 56% 57%

Davidovich Fokina fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Fonseca recorded 17 aces (5.7 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Davidovich Fokina Fonseca
Won 7 8
Converted 7/23 8/15
% Converted 30% 53%
Conceded 10 8
Saved 6 4
% Saved 60% 50%
Times Broken 4 4

Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Davidovich Fokina
R1
Sonego		 R2
Brooksby 		1/4
Ruud		 1/2
Humbert 		Total
Score 7-62 6-4 6-76 6-4 7-5 7-61 ret. 7-64 3-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 3 1 2 8
Tot Games 23 35 13 17 88
pts 82-72 111-106 46-39 – 239-217
Total points 154 217 85 0 456
Winners 34 55 21 110
%Winners 41% 50% 46% 0% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 2 0 10
Double Faults 6 1 0 7
1st in 43/72 76/120 26/34 / 145/226
% 1st in 60% 63% 76% 0% 64%
1st pts 34/43 55/76 21/26 / 110/145
% 1st pts 79% 72% 81% 0% 76%
2nd pts 16/29 23/44 6/8 / 45/81
% 2nd pts 55% 52% 75% 0% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 5 0 7
Converted 2/8 5/8 0/7 / 7/23
Converted % 25% 63% 0% 0% 30%
Conceded 2 8 0 10
Saved 1/2 5/8 0/0 0/ 6
Saved % 50% 63% – – 28%
Times Broken 1 3 0 4
Fonseca
R1
Mpetshi		 R2
Mensik		 1/4
Shapovalov		 1/2
Munar Clar		 Total
Score 7-66 6-3 w/o 3-6 6-3 4-1 ret. 7-64 7-5
Tot Set 2 – 3 2 7
Tot Games 22 – 23 25 70
pts 73-61 – 70-64 83-72 226-197
Total points 134 – 134 155 423
Winners 37 – 25 41 103
%Winners 51% – 36% 49% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 – 2 8 17
Double Faults 1 – 3 1 5
1st in 47/68 – 39/63 48/75 134/206
% 1st in 69% – 62% 64% 65%
1st pts 37/47 – 25/39 41/48 103/134
% 1st pts 79% – 64% 85% 77%
2nd pts 15/21 – 12/24 14/27 41/72
% 2nd pts 71% – 50% 52% 57%
Breaks
Won 1 – 5 2 8
Converted 1/2 – 5/10 2/3 8/15
Converted % 50% – 50% 67% 53%
Conceded 0 – 7 1 8
Saved 0/0 – 4/7 0/1 4
Saved % – – 57% 0% 14%
Times Broken 0 – 3 1 4

Upcoming matches in the draw

Davidovich Fokina
More Stats
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Fonseca

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