Eliot Spizzirri and Hugo Gaston will clash against each other in the final of the Brest Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Eliot Spizzirri is the pick to win this match.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.63
Hugo Gaston -> 2.18

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Prediction and head to head Eliot Spizzirri vs. Hugo Gaston

This will be the 2^nd time that Eliot Spizzirri and Hugo Gaston play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaston (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Gaston won 6-0 6-1 in the qualifications in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Eliot Spizzirri

Ranked no. 103 (career-high), Eliot got to the final after beating Jonas Forejtek 3-6 7-6(3) 6-3, Mark Lajal 3-6 6-1 6-3, Giulio Zeppieri 5-7 7-6(8) 7-6(4) and Francesco Passaro 7-6(11) 6-3.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Passaro (7-6¹¹ 6-3). During the match, Spizzirri scored 74 points vs Passaro’s 64. Spizzirri was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Spizzirri scored 9 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Eliot Spizzirri was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (38/45) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Passaro once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Eliot has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Spizzirri has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (115-68). 12-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Spizzirri has a compiled22-10 win-loss record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the San Diego Challenger where he overcame Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4 and the Jingshan Challenger where he overcame Alex Bolt in the final 6-4 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 51-28 win-loss record in 2025, 12-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Brest Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 113, Hugo reached the final after defeating Calvin Hemery 6-1 7-6(6), Francesco Maestrelli 7-6(5) 6-1, Arthur Fery 7-6(3) 7-5 and Alexis Galarneau 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, The French player defeated Galarneau (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match Gaston scored 95 points vs Galarneau’s 85. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Gaston scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Hugo Gaston was very effective on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Galarneau 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaston has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Rennes Challenger where he overcame Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-4 6-4.

Gaston has an overall 28-30 win-loss record in 2025, 13-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Spizzirri	Gaston
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	116	94
Pts	361-337	322-270
Total Points	698	592
Winners	187	148
%Winners	52%	46%

Both Spizzirri and Gaston played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Eliot Spizzirri surrendered 3 sets, while Hugo Gaston surrendered 1 set. Spizzirri has played 2 sets more than Gaston (11 vs 9). Therefore, Spizzirri played 22 games more than Gaston. Eliot scored 187 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The French player made 148 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Spizzirri	Gaston
Aces	39	13
Avg per match	9.8	3.3
1st in	247/351	194/299
%1st in	70%	65%
1st pts	187/247	148/194
%1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	64/104	56/105
%2nd pts	62%	53%

Spizzirri made 39 aces (9.8 per match). Gaston scored 13 aces (3.3 per match). Spizzirri won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Gaston won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Spizzirri	Gaston
Won	8	12
Converted	8/22	12/33
% Converted	36%	36%
Conceded	12	19
Saved	8	13
% Saved	67%	68%
Times Broken	4	6

Eliot broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Spizzirri
	R1 Forejtek	R2 Lajal	1/4 Zeppieri	1/2 Passaro	Total
Score	3-6 7-63 6-3	3-6 6-1 6-3	5-7 7-68 7-64	7-611 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	31	25	38	22	116
pts	88-84	87-73	112-116	74-64	361-337
Total points	172	160	228	138	698
Winners	47	38	64	38	187
%Winners	53%	44%	57%	51%	52%
SERVE
Aces	8	7	15	9	39
Double Faults	1	2	2	0	5
1st in	61/81	56/76	85/120	45/74	247/351
% 1st in	75%	74%	71%	61%	70%
1st pts	47/61	38/56	64/85	38/45	187/247
% 1st pts	77%	68%	75%	84%	76%
2nd pts	12/20	12/20	23/35	17/29	64/104
% 2nd pts	60%	60%	66%	59%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	5	0	1	8
Converted	2/7	5/12	0/2	1/1	8/22
Converted %	29%	42%	0%	100%	36%
Conceded	1	6	4	1	12
Saved	0/1	4/6	3/4	1/1	8
Saved %	0%	67%	75%	100%	61%
Times Broken	1	2	1	0	4

Gaston
	R1 Hemery	R2 Maestrelli	1/4 Fery	1/2 Galarneau	Total
Score	6-1 7-66	7-65 6-1	7-63 7-5	6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	20	20	25	29	94
pts	71-56	77-63	79-66	95-85	322-270
Total points	127	140	145	180	592
Winners	33	39	36	40	148
%Winners	46%	51%	46%	42%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	5	1	1	13
Double Faults	1	0	0	1	2
1st in	44/66	50/77	45/68	55/88	194/299
% 1st in	67%	65%	66%	63%	65%
1st pts	33/44	39/50	36/45	40/55	148/194
% 1st pts	75%	78%	80%	73%	76%
2nd pts	11/22	13/27	14/23	18/33	56/105
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	61%	55%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	3	12
Converted	3/6	3/6	3/10	3/11	12/33
Converted %	50%	50%	30%	27%	36%
Conceded	3	5	3	8	19
Saved	2/3	4/5	1/3	6/8	13
Saved %	67%	80%	33%	75%	64%
Times Broken	1	1	2	2	6

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