Mariano Navone and Cristian Garin will face off in the quarter of the Costa do Sauipe Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mariano Navone who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mariano Navone is the pick to win this match.
Mariano Navone -> 1.59
Cristian Garin -> 2.25

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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Cristian Garin

There is no head to head record between Mariano Navone and Cristian Garin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Mariano Navone

Ranked no. 85, Navone reached the quarter after defeating Hady Habib 6-4 6-1 and Pedro Boscardin Dias 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Navone had a good straight sets win against Boscardin Dias (6-4 6-2). During the match, Navone scored 70 points vs Boscardin Dias’s 45. Navone was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Navone couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 67% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Navone broke Boscardin Dias 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.

Navone has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (251-160). 23-13 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Navone has an aggregate236-126 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Braunschweig Challenger where he beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-3 7-5.

Mariano has a compiled 31-28 win-loss record in 2025, 23-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Costa do Sauipe Challenger

Mariano has never competed in this tournament before.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 107, Garin reached the quarter after beating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 6-4 and Andrea Collarini 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Christian defeated Collarini (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Garin scored 77 points vs Collarini’s 68. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Garin recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Cristian Garin lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the 2nd serve. Christian broke Collarini 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he overcame Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Oeiras 5 Challenger where he overcame Mitchell Krueger in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 and the Antofagasta Challenger where he beat Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 2-6 6-3 6-3.

The Chilean has an overall 41-20 win-loss record in 2025, 31-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Navone	Garin
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	35	47
Pts	148-103	145-120
Total Points	251	265
Winners	50	56
%Winners	34%	39%

Both Navone and Garin played 2 matches. At the moment, Cristian Garin dropped 1 set while Mariano Navone hasn’t dropped a set so far. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Garin (4 vs 5). Therefore, Navone played 12 games less than Garin. The Argentine scored 50 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean managed to score 56 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Navone	Garin
Aces	3	5
Avg per match	1.5	2.5
1st in	71/107	77/136
%1st in	66%	57%
1st pts	50/71	56/77
%1st pts	70%	73%
2nd pts	19/36	34/59
%2nd pts	53%	58%

Navone scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Garin blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Navone won 70% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Navone	Garin
Won	11	8
Converted	11/24	8/11
% Converted	46%	73%
Conceded	7	10
Saved	3	6
% Saved	43%	60%
Times Broken	4	4

Navone broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Argentine dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Christian broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Garin conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Navone
	R1 Habib	R2 Boscardin	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	18	35
pts	78-58	70-45	148-103
Total points	136	115	251
Winners	21	29	50
%Winners	27%	41%	34%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	3
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	32/49	39/58	71/107
% 1st in	65%	67%	66%
1st pts	21/32	29/39	50/71
% 1st pts	66%	74%	70%
2nd pts	12/17	7/19	19/36
% 2nd pts	71%	37%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/13	6/11	11/24
Converted %	38%	55%	46%
Conceded	1	6	7
Saved	0/1	3/6	3
Saved %	0%	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Garin
	R1 Alberto	R2 Collarini	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-1 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	27	47
pts	68-52	77-68	145-120
Total points	120	145	265
Winners	24	32	56
%Winners	35%	42%	39%
SERVE
Aces	0	5	5
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	31/58	46/78	77/136
% 1st in	53%	59%	57%
1st pts	24/31	32/46	56/77
% 1st pts	77%	70%	73%
2nd pts	16/27	18/32	34/59
% 2nd pts	59%	56%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/4	5/7	8/11
Converted %	75%	71%	73%
Conceded	3	7	10
Saved	2/3	4/7	6
Saved %	67%	57%	62%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Costa Do Sauipe Challenger

• Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mariano NavoneNavone – Christian GarinGarin (0-0) – H2H and prediction