Hugo Gaston and Alexis Galarneau will square off in the semifinal of the Brest Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.51
Alexis Galarneau -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Alexis Galarneau
This will be the 2nd time that Hugo Gaston and Alexis Galarneau fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Galarneau (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Galarneau won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Cancun Challenger back in August 2025.
Hugo Gaston
28 - 30win/loss
98
58
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113, Hugo reached the semifinal after beating Calvin Hemery 6-1 7-6(6), Francesco Maestrelli 7-6(5) 6-1 and Arthur Fery 7-6(3) 7-5.
In the quarter, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Fery (7-63 7-5). During the match, Gaston scored 79 points vs Fery’s 66. Gaston was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gaston scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Hugo broke Fery 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Gaston has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (268-213). 12-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaston has a compiled 75-59 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Rennes Challenger where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-4 6-4.
Gaston has a compiled 27-30 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brest Challenger
Alexis Galarneau
37 - 30win/loss
203
153
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-32 | 24-18 | 1-3 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-26 | 15-12 | 8-6 | 12-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 20-18 | 3-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-28 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, the Canadian got to the semifinal after defeating Luca Nardi 6-4 6-1, Arthur Bouquier 6-3 5-7 6-4 and Clement Tabur 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The Canadian defeated Tabur (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Galarneau scored 91 points vs Tabur’s 89. Galarneau was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Galarneau bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexis Galarneau lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Galarneau put 64% of his first serves in, winning 71% (41/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Galarneau broke Tabur 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Galarneau’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger,the Pune Challenger and the Cuernavaca Challenger.
The Canadian has an overall 37-29 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 76 |
| Pts | 227-185 | 240-218 |
| Total Points | 412 | 458 |
| Winners | 108 | 108 |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% |
Both Gaston and Galarneau played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexis Galarneau conceded 2 sets while Hugo Gaston hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gaston has played 2 set(s) less than Galarneau (6 vs 8). Therefore, Gaston played 11 games less than Galarneau. Hugo scored 108 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Galarneau struck 108 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 139/211 | 159/240 |
| %1st in | 66% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 108/139 | 108/159 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 38/72 | 46/81 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 57% |
Gaston managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). Galarneau recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Gaston won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Galarneau won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 11 | 20 |
| Saved | 7 | 13 |
| % Saved | 64% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Gaston broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Gaston dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Galarneau broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexis conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaston | |||||
| R1 Hemery | R2 Maestrelli | 1/4 Fery | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-66 | 7-65 6-1 | 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 25 | 65 | |
| pts | 71-56 | 77-63 | 79-66 | 227-185 | |
| Total points | 127 | 140 | 145 | 412 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 36 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 51% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/66 | 50/77 | 45/68 | 139/211 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 39/50 | 36/45 | 108/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 13/27 | 14/23 | 38/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 61% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | 3/10 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 30% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 33% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Galarneau | |||||
| R1 Nardi | R2 Bouquier | 1/4 Tabur | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 28 | 76 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 88-85 | 91-89 | 240-218 | |
| Total points | 105 | 173 | 180 | 458 | |
| Winners | 21 | 46 | 41 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 52% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 67/95 | 58/90 | 159/240 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 71% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 21/34 | 46/67 | 41/58 | 108/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 69% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 18/28 | 15/32 | 46/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 64% | 47% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 | 4/13 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 31% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/10 | 3/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores in Brest Challenger
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (5-7 7-68 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Clement TaburTabur (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Arthur FeryFery (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Dan AddedAdded (7-65 7-62) – See score progression
- Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – N.Sriram Balaji/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthBalaji/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (6-4 6-75 10-8) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Clement TaburTabur (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hugo GastonGaston – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-1) – H2H and prediction