Justin Engel and Alejandro Moro Canas will face off in the semifinal of the Hamburg Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Justin Engel who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Justin Engel is the pick to win this match.
Justin Engel -> 1.54
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Justin Engel vs. Alejandro Moro Canas

This will be the 2^nd time that Justin Engel and Alejandro Moro Canas fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Engel (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Engel won 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger back in August 2025.

Justin Engel

Ranked no. 235, the German reached the semifinal after beating Sander Jong 7-6(4) 7-6(10), Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 2-6 6-3 7-6(3) and Matej Dodig 4-6 7-6(4) 7-6(5).

In the quarter against Dodig, Justin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6⁴ 7-6⁵).During the match, Engel scored less points (11) than Dodig. In fact, the world no. 235 won 106 points vs Dodig’s. That means that Engel was more focused during the important points. Justin was pretty aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Talking about the service games, Engel blasted 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Justin Engel was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (58/78) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The German was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Dodig once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Engel has dropped 2 set in this event to win 50% of the points he played.

Engel has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 56% of his matches (88-70). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Engel has a compiled7-8 win-loss record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

The German’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Cadolzburg.

The German has a composed 36-31 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hamburg Challenger

Justin has never competed in this tournament before.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 256, Moro got to the semifinal after defeating Jannik Opitz 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2, Mathys Erhard 7-6(4) 6-4 and Buvaysar Gadamauri 1-6 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter against Gadamauri, Moro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 7-5).During the match Moro scored less points (5) than Gadamauri. In fact, the world no. 235 won 80 points vs Gadamauri’s. That means that Moro was more focused during the important points. Moro was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Moro scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moro put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Gadamauri 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Alejandro’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

The Spaniard has an overall 35-31 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Engel	Moro
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	92	82
Pts	290-289	256-244
Total Points	579	500
Winners	144	126
%Winners	50%	49%

Both Engel and Moro played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Justin Engel conceded 2 sets, while Alejandro Moro Canas conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Engel and Moro have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Engel played 10 games more than Moro. Justin scored 144 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro managed to score 126 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Engel	Moro
Aces	18	10
Avg per match	6	3.3
1st in	184/284	174/246
%1st in	65%	71%
1st pts	144/184	126/174
%1st pts	78%	72%
2nd pts	58/100	37/72
%2nd pts	58%	51%

Engel scored 18 aces (6 per match). Moro fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Engel won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Engel	Moro
Won	2	8
Converted	2/16	8/17
% Converted	13%	47%
Conceded	19	20
Saved	15	14
% Saved	79%	70%
Times Broken	4	6

Justin broke his opponents twice with a 13% conversion rate. Justin lost his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Moro broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Moro conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Engel
	R1 Jong	R2 Stebe	1/4 Dodig	Total
Score	7-64 7-610	2-6 6-3 7-63	4-6 7-64 7-65
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	26	30	36	92
pts	90-81	94-91	106-117	290-289
Total points	171	185	223	579
Winners	43	43	58	144
%Winners	48%	46%	55%	50%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	9	18
Double Faults	2	0	2	4
1st in	50/76	56/89	78/119	184/284
% 1st in	66%	63%	66%	65%
1st pts	43/50	43/56	58/78	144/184
% 1st pts	86%	77%	74%	78%
2nd pts	19/26	18/33	21/41	58/100
% 2nd pts	73%	55%	51%	58%
Breaks
Won	0	1	1	2
Converted	0/5	1/10	1/1	2/16
Converted %	0%	10%	100%	13%
Conceded	2	4	13	19
Saved	2/2	2/4	11/13	15
Saved %	100%	50%	85%	78%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Moro
	R1 Opitz	R2 Erhard	1/4 Gadamauri	Total
Score	4-6 7-63 6-2	7-64 6-4	1-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	31	23	28	82
pts	95-86	81-73	80-85	256-244
Total points	181	154	165	500
Winners	50	35	41	126
%Winners	53%	43%	51%	49%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	3	10
Double Faults	2	3	2	7
1st in	62/84	52/74	60/88	174/246
% 1st in	74%	70%	68%	71%
1st pts	50/62	35/52	41/60	126/174
% 1st pts	81%	67%	68%	72%
2nd pts	13/22	10/22	14/28	37/72
% 2nd pts	59%	45%	50%	51%
Breaks
Won	2	3	3	8
Converted	2/7	3/6	3/4	8/17
Converted %	29%	50%	75%	47%
Conceded	3	9	8	20
Saved	2/3	7/9	5/8	14
Saved %	67%	78%	63%	69%
Times Broken	1	2	3	6

Tennis Scores in Hamburg Challenger

• Milos Karol/Patrik Niklas-SalminenKarol/Patrik Niklas-Salminen – Niels McDonald/Jannik OpitzMcDonald/Jannik Opitz (6-2 6-7⁵ 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Michael Geerts/Tim RuehlGeerts/Tim Ruehl – Ivan Marrero Curbelo/David PoljakMarrero Curbelo/David Poljak (7-6² 5-7 10-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• George LoffhagenLoffhagen – (0-0) – H2H and prediction