Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ugo Humbert will play each other in the semifinal of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.77
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 5^th time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ugo Humbert clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Davidovich Fokina and Humbert (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Humbert won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Marseille back in 2024.

Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Marseille 09-February-2024

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the semifinal after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(2) 6-4, Jenson Brooksby 6-7(6) 6-4 7-5 and Casper Ruud 7-6(1) ret..

In the quarter against Ruud, Davidovich Fokina had a free pass after Ruud retired on a 7-6¹ . scoreline.

Davidovich Fokina has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (302-218). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Davidovich Fokina has a composed 31-35 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Davidovich Fokina’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.

Davidovich Fokina has a compiled 41-24 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 24, Ugo reached the semifinal after defeating Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-4, Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4 and Reilly Opelka 7-6(0) 6-4.

In the quarter, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Opelka (7-6⁰ 6-4). During the match Humbert scored 66 points vs Opelka’s 54. Humbert was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Humbert struck 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Humbert was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (34/39) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Opelka once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Humbert hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Ugo has an aggregate 25-19 win-loss record in 2025, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Davidovich Fokina	Humbert
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	71	61
Pts	239-217	192-153
Total Points	456	345
Winners	110	104
%Winners	46%	54%

Both Davidovich Fokina and Humbert played 3 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost 1 set while Ugo Humbert hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Davidovich Fokina has played 1 set more than Humbert (7 vs 6). Therefore, Davidovich Fokina played 10 games more than Humbert. The Spaniard scored 110 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Humbert blasted 104 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Davidovich Fokina	Humbert
Aces	10	22
Avg per match	3.3	7.3
1st in	145/226	126/177
%1st in	64%	71%
1st pts	110/145	104/126
%1st pts	76%	83%
2nd pts	45/81	31/51
%2nd pts	56%	61%

Davidovich Fokina bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Humbert struck 22 aces (7.3 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Davidovich Fokina	Humbert
Won	7	6
Converted	7/23	6/15
% Converted	30%	40%
Conceded	10	6
Saved	6	5
% Saved	60%	83%
Times Broken	4	1

Alejandro broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Davidovich Fokina
	R1 Sonego	R2 Brooksby	1/4 Ruud	Total
Score	7-62 6-4	6-76 6-4 7-5	7-61 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	1	6
Tot Games	23	35	13	71
pts	82-72	111-106	46-39	239-217
Total points	154	217	85	456
Winners	34	55	21	110
%Winners	41%	50%	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	2	10
Double Faults	6	1	0	7
1st in	43/72	76/120	26/34	145/226
% 1st in	60%	63%	76%	64%
1st pts	34/43	55/76	21/26	110/145
% 1st pts	79%	72%	81%	76%
2nd pts	16/29	23/44	6/8	45/81
% 2nd pts	55%	52%	75%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	5	0	7
Converted	2/8	5/8	0/7	7/23
Converted %	25%	63%	0%	30%
Conceded	2	8	0	10
Saved	1/2	5/8	0/0	6
Saved %	50%	63%	–	38%
Times Broken	1	3	0	4

Humbert
	R1 Korda	R2 Fritz	1/4 Opelka	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4	7-60 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	19	23	61
pts	60-42	66-57	66-54	192-153
Total points	102	123	120	345
Winners	34	36	34	104
%Winners	57%	55%	52%	54%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	9	22
Double Faults	0	2	1	3
1st in	42/54	45/65	39/58	126/177
% 1st in	78%	69%	67%	71%
1st pts	34/42	36/45	34/39	104/126
% 1st pts	81%	80%	87%	83%
2nd pts	7/12	10/20	14/19	31/51
% 2nd pts	58%	50%	74%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	1	6
Converted	3/8	2/5	1/2	6/15
Converted %	38%	40%	50%	40%
Conceded	4	2	0	6
Saved	3/4	2/2	0/0	5
Saved %	75%	100%	–	58%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Tennis Scores in Basel

• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
• Petr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl – Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel (7-6⁸ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6⁰ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-6¹ ret.) – See score progression
• Rohan Bopanna/Ben SheltonBopanna/Ben Shelton – Pierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut (6-3 3-6 10-3) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marc-Andrea Huesler/Jakub PaulHuesler/Jakub Paul (6-4 7-6¹⁰) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(0) 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-6(1) ret.) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-2) – H2H and prediction