Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.75
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 5th time that Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Musetti won 7-6(1) 6-4 in the quarter in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev – Rome 14-May-2025

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

50 - 21win/loss

Hard
24-9
I Hard
2-2
Clay
18-7
Grass
6-3
Rank
3
High
2
LLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 55-25 24-9 18-7 7-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Zverev got to the semifinal after defeating Jacob Fearnley 6-4 1-6 7-6(5), Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor w/o.

In the quarter, Alexander defeated Griekspoor (w/o). During the match, Zverev and Griekspoor scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The German was not very aggressive to strike just winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Alexander Zverev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has lost 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Zverev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (495-195). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an overall 91-39 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Munich where he overcame Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Zverev has a compiled 50-21 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Vienna
Zverev's Record

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

41 - 17win/loss

Hard
18-11
I Hard
4-1
Clay
19-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 8, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Hamad Medjedovic 6-4 6-3, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-4 and Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-3 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 65 points vs Moutet’s 53. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Musetti broke Moutet twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

Musetti has an aggregate 41-17 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history.

Vienna
Musetti's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
L.Musetti
3h:46
3h:46
Time on court​
4h:32
4h:32
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:41
1h:41
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
50
50
Games Played​
57
57
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
154
154
Total points​
196
196
77
77
Avg point​
65.3
65.3
71
71
Winners
85
85
35.5
35.5
Avg Winners​
28.3
28.3
46%
46%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
18
18
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
6
6
1
1
Double Faults
2
2
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
71/91
71/91
1st won total​
85/107
85/107
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
28/42
28/42
2nd won total​
43/70
43/70
!
67%
67%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
3/10
3/10
BP won
7/12
7/12
1.5/5
1.5/5
Avg BP won
2.3/4
2.3/4
30%
30%
Won
!
58%
58%
3
3
Conceded
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
2
2
2
2
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
1
1
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Musetti
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 50 57
Pts 154-141 196-148
Total Points 295 344
Winners 71 85
%Winners 46% 43%

Zverev played 2 matches while Musetti competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Zverev dropped 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t conceded a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (5 vs 6). Therefore, Zverev played 7 games less than Musetti. Zverev scored 71 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 85 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Musetti
Aces 11 18
Avg per match 5.5 6
1st in 91/133 107/177
%1st in 68% 60%
1st pts 71/91 85/107
%1st pts 78% 79%
2nd pts 28/42 43/70
%2nd pts 67% 61%

Zverev made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Musetti recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Zverev won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Musetti
Won 3 7
Converted 3/10 7/12
% Converted 30% 58%
Conceded 3 6
Saved 1 5
% Saved 33% 83%
Times Broken 2 1

The German broke his opponents 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The German dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
R1
Fearnley
R2
Arnaldi
1/4
Griekspoor
Total
Score 6-4 1-6 7-65 6-4 6-4 w/o
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 20 50
pts 92-91 62-50 154-141
Total points 183 112 295
Winners 38 33 71
%Winners 41% 53% 46%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 11
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 53/80 38/53 91/133
% 1st in 66% 72% 68%
1st pts 38/53 33/38 71/91
% 1st pts 72% 87% 78%
2nd pts 20/27 8/15 28/42
% 2nd pts 74% 53% 67%
Breaks
Won 1 2 3
Converted 1/7 2/3 3/10
Converted % 14% 67% 30%
Conceded 2 1 3
Saved 0/2 1/1 1
Saved % 0% 100% 33%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Musetti
R1
Medjedovic
R2
Etcheverry
1/4
Moutet
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 19 19 19 57
pts 64-44 67-51 65-53 196-148
Total points 108 118 118 344
Winners 23 34 28 85
%Winners 36% 51% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 4 18
Double Faults 0 1 1 2
1st in 25/49 42/63 40/65 107/177
% 1st in 51% 67% 62% 60%
1st pts 23/25 34/42 28/40 85/107
% 1st pts 92% 81% 70% 79%
2nd pts 16/24 11/21 16/25 43/70
% 2nd pts 67% 52% 64% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 2 2 7
Converted 3/6 2/3 2/3 7/12
Converted % 50% 67% 67% 58%
Conceded 1 4 1 6
Saved 0/1 4/4 1/1 5
Saved % 0% 100% 100% 67%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1

Tennis Scores in Vienna

  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurMatteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
  • Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas MiedlerJoe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry PattenAlexander Erler/Robert GallowayErler/Robert Galloway (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Yuki Bhambri/Andre GoranssonBhambri/Andre GoranssonMarcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic (6-76 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevTallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiCorentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd GlasspoolFernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerAlexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerAlexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiCorentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevTallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw