Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 12^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.099
Alex De Minaur -> 6.9

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 12^th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur face off. The head to head is 11-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 6-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the semifinal in Beijing back in September 2025.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Beijing 30-September-2025

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 2, Jannik reached the semifinal after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-0 6-2, Flavio Cobolli 6-2 7-6(4) and Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 67 points vs Bublik’s 47. Sinner was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner scored 8 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 93% (28/30) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jannik broke Bublik twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 76% of his matches (392-127). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a composed103-25 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 and in Beijing where he beat Learner Tien in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Italian has an overall 46-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 7, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-1, Filip Misolic 6-4 6-4 and Matteo Berrettini 6-1 7-6(4).

In the quarter, Alex had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-1 7-6⁴). During the match De Minaur scored 75 points vs Berrettini’s 62. De Minaur was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, De Minaur scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 63% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. De Minaur broke Berrettini 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

De Minaur has an overall 53-19 win-loss record in 2025, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	De Minaur
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	55	57
Pts	199-136	207-163
Total Points	335	370
Winners	75	87
%Winners	38%	42%

Both Sinner and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sinner played 2 games less than De Minaur. The Italian scored 75 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur fired 87 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	De Minaur
Aces	17	10
Avg per match	5.7	3.3
1st in	91/142	116/178
%1st in	64%	65%
1st pts	75/91	87/116
%1st pts	82%	75%
2nd pts	40/51	38/62
%2nd pts	78%	61%

Sinner made 17 aces (5.7 per match). De Minaur scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Sinner won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	De Minaur
Won	9	9
Converted	9/22	9/24
% Converted	41%	38%
Conceded	0	8
Saved	0	6
% Saved	0%	75%
Times Broken	0	2

The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Sinner was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. De Minaur broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Altmaier	R2 Cobolli	1/4 Bublik	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-2 7-64	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	14	21	20	55
pts	55-22	77-67	67-47	199-136
Total points	77	144	114	335
Winners	18	29	28	75
%Winners	33%	38%	42%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	8	17
Double Faults	0	1	0	1
1st in	19/32	42/65	30/45	91/142
% 1st in	59%	65%	67%	64%
1st pts	18/19	29/42	28/30	75/91
% 1st pts	95%	69%	93%	82%
2nd pts	10/13	18/23	12/15	40/51
% 2nd pts	77%	78%	80%	78%
Breaks
Won	5	2	2	9
Converted	5/6	2/8	2/8	9/22
Converted %	83%	25%	25%	41%
Conceded	0	0	0	0
Saved	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Saved %	–	–	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

De Minaur
	R1 Rodionov	R2 Misolic	1/4 Berrettini	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-4 6-4	6-1 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	20	20	57
pts	64-43	68-58	75-62	207-163
Total points	107	126	137	370
Winners	26	28	33	87
%Winners	41%	41%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	4	10
Double Faults	0	1	2	3
1st in	33/49	38/57	45/72	116/178
% 1st in	67%	67%	63%	65%
1st pts	26/33	28/38	33/45	87/116
% 1st pts	79%	74%	73%	75%
2nd pts	13/16	15/19	10/27	38/62
% 2nd pts	81%	79%	37%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	9
Converted	3/8	2/6	4/10	9/24
Converted %	38%	33%	40%	38%
Conceded	2	3	3	8
Saved	2/2	3/3	1/3	6
Saved %	100%	100%	33%	78%
Times Broken	0	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Vienna

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression
• Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (11-0) – H2H and prediction