Martin Damm and Antoine Ghibaudo will square off in the quarter of the Sioux Falls Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on SIOUX FALLS FORD LINCOLN STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Martin Damm who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Martin Damm is the pick to win this match.
Martin Damm -> 1.4
Antoine Ghibaudo -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Martin Damm vs. Antoine Ghibaudo

This will be the 3^rd time that Martin Damm and Antoine Ghibaudo clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Damm won 6-3 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Columbus Challenger back in September 2025.

Martin Damm

Ranked no. 208, Damm reached the quarter after defeating Dan Martin 6-2 6-4 and Andre Ilagan 7-6(2) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Ilagan (7-6² 7-5). During the match, Damm scored 87 points vs Ilagan’s 66. Martin was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Damm blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Martin Damm was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 83% (20/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Martin broke Ilagan once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Damm has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (184-127). 12-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Damm has a composed42-29 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi,M15 Vaasa,M25 Elvas,the Columbus Challenger and the Lincoln Challenger.

Martin has a compiled 48-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sioux Falls Challenger

Antoine Ghibaudo

Ranked no. 398 (career-high), Ghibaudo reached the quarter after defeating Maxwell Exsted 6-4 7-5, Francisco Rocha 6-3 6-2, Jay Clarke 2-6 6-2 7-5 and Andrew Fenty 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Fenty (7-5 6-4). During the match Ghibaudo scored 76 points vs Fenty’s 60. Antoine was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Ghibaudo scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Antoine Ghibaudo lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ghibaudo put 72% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the 2nd serve. Antoine broke Fenty 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ghibaudo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Heraklion.

The French player has a composed 30-16 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sioux Falls Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Damm	Ghibaudo
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	4	9
Tot Games	43	89
Pts	87-66	289-232
Total Points	153	521
Winners	33	129
%Winners	38%	45%

Damm played 2 matches while Ghibaudo competed in 4 matches. Ghibaudo started his run from the qualifications while Damm had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Antoine Ghibaudo lost 1 set while Martin Damm hasn’t dropped a set so far. Damm has played 5 set(s) less than Ghibaudo (4 vs 9). Therefore, Damm played 46 games less than Ghibaudo. The American scored 33 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 129 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Damm	Ghibaudo
Aces	11	16
Avg per match	5.5	4
1st in	40/64	177/256
%1st in	63%	69%
1st pts	33/40	129/177
%1st pts	83%	73%
2nd pts	20/24	46/79
%2nd pts	83%	58%

Damm scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ghibaudo scored 16 aces (4 per match). Damm won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 83% of the points. On the other side, Ghibaudo won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Damm	Ghibaudo
Won	1	15
Converted	1/9	15/30
% Converted	11%	50%
Conceded	0	14
Saved	0	7
% Saved	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	7

Damm broke his opponents once with a 11% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The French player broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ghibaudo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Damm
	R1 Martin	R2 Ilagan	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	7-62 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	25	43
pts	–	87-66	87-66
Total points	0	153	153
Winners		33	33
%Winners	0%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	11	11
Double Faults		1	1
1st in	/	40/64	40/64
% 1st in	0%	63%	63%
1st pts	/	33/40	33/40
% 1st pts	0%	83%	83%
2nd pts	/	20/24	20/24
% 2nd pts	0%	83%	83%
Breaks
Won		1	1
Converted	/	1/9	1/9
Converted %	0%	11%	11%
Conceded		0	0
Saved	0/	0/0	0
Saved %	–	–	0%
Times Broken		0	0

Ghibaudo
	Q1 Exsted	Q3 Rocha	R1 Clarke	R2 Fenty	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-3 6-2	2-6 6-2 7-5	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	22	17	28	22	89
pts	69-59	58-37	86-76	76-60	289-232
Total points	128	95	162	136	521
Winners	34	27	36	32	129
%Winners	49%	47%	42%	42%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	4	7	16
Double Faults	1	1	1	1	4
1st in	44/65	34/47	52/79	47/65	177/256
% 1st in	68%	72%	66%	72%	69%
1st pts	34/44	27/34	36/52	32/47	129/177
% 1st pts	77%	79%	69%	68%	73%
2nd pts	11/21	10/13	13/27	12/18	46/79
% 2nd pts	52%	77%	48%	67%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	4	15
Converted	3/4	3/6	5/11	4/9	15/30
Converted %	75%	50%	45%	44%	50%
Conceded	2	1	7	4	14
Saved	1/2	1/1	3/7	2/4	7
Saved %	50%	100%	43%	50%	122%
Times Broken	1	0	4	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-1) – H2H and prediction