Lorenzo Musetti and Corentin Moutet will square off in the quarter of the Erste Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:15 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.6
Corentin Moutet -> 2.33

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Corentin Moutet play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Musetti won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Buenos aires back in February 2025.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet – Buenos aires 13-February-2025

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

41 - 17win/loss

Hard
18-11
I Hard
4-1
Clay
19-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 8, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Hamad Medjedovic 6-4 6-3 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (6-3 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 67 points vs Etcheverry’s 51. Lorenzo was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Etcheverry twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (260-178). 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled36-40 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

Lorenzo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

Lorenzo has a compiled 40-17 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Vienna
Musetti's Record

Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet

40 - 27win/loss

Hard
15-12
I Hard
6-2
Clay
10-9
Grass
9-4
Rank
35
High
31
LLWLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-29 15-12 10-9 7-4 9-4 0-0
2024 31-26 4-6 22-15 4-4 1-1 0-0
2023 19-25 5-10 3-6 7-4 4-5 0-0
2022 40-21 13-6 20-8 7-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-16 8-4 5-8 3-1 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 36 (career-high), the French player got to the quarter after defeating Damir Dzumhur 6-3 6-0 and Daniil Medvedev 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Moutet had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-63 6-4). During the match Moutet scored 83 points vs Medvedev’s 77. Corentin was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Moutet scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 57% of his first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moutet hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Moutet’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Mallorca and Almaty.

Moutet has an overall 40-26 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

Vienna
Moutet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
C.Moutet
2h:51
2h:51
Time on court​
3h:22
3h:22
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
2
2
Match played
2
2
38
38
Games Played​
38
38
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
131
131
Total points​
139
139
65.5
65.5
Avg point​
69.5
69.5
57
57
Winners
49
49
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
24.5
24.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
5
5
7
7
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
1
1
Double Faults
4
4
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
57/67
57/67
1st won total​
49/69
49/69
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
27/45
27/45
2nd won total​
31/57
31/57
60%
60%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
9/18
9/18
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
4.5/9
4.5/9
!
56%
56%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
3
3
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
4
4
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Moutet
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 38 38
Pts 131-95 139-106
Total Points 226 245
Winners 57 49
%Winners 44% 35%

Both Musetti and Moutet played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Moutet have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (38). Lorenzo scored 57 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Moutet made 49 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Moutet
Aces 14 5
Avg per match 7 2.5
1st in 67/112 69/126
%1st in 60% 55%
1st pts 57/67 49/69
%1st pts 85% 71%
2nd pts 27/45 31/57
%2nd pts 60% 54%

Musetti bagged 14 aces (7 per match). Moutet blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Musetti won 85% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Moutet
Won 5 9
Converted 5/9 9/18
% Converted 56% 50%
Conceded 5 10
Saved 4 7
% Saved 80% 70%
Times Broken 1 3

Lorenzo broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Lorenzo surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R1
Medjedovic		 R2
Etcheverry		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 19 38
pts 64-44 67-51 131-95
Total points 108 118 226
Winners 23 34 57
%Winners 36% 51% 44%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 14
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 25/49 42/63 67/112
% 1st in 51% 67% 60%
1st pts 23/25 34/42 57/67
% 1st pts 92% 81% 85%
2nd pts 16/24 11/21 27/45
% 2nd pts 67% 52% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/6 2/3 5/9
Converted % 50% 67% 56%
Conceded 1 4 5
Saved 0/1 4/4 4
Saved % 0% 100% 50%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Moutet
R1
Dzumhur		 R2
Medvedev		 Total
Score 6-3 6-0 7-63 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 23 38
pts 56-29 83-77 139-106
Total points 85 160 245
Winners 16 33 49
%Winners 29% 40% 35%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 18/37 51/89 69/126
% 1st in 49% 57% 55%
1st pts 16/18 33/51 49/69
% 1st pts 89% 65% 71%
2nd pts 14/19 17/38 31/57
% 2nd pts 74% 45% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/12 4/6 9/18
Converted % 42% 67% 50%
Conceded 2 8 10
Saved 2/2 5/8 7
Saved % 100% 63% 82%
Times Broken 0 3 3

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
More Stats
Click here
Moutet

Click for FULL STATS