Ugo Humbert and Reilly Opelka will clash against each other in the quarter of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.53
Reilly Opelka -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Reilly Opelka

There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Reilly Opelka since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 24, Ugo reached the quarter after defeating Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Fritz (6-3 6-4). During the match, Humbert scored 66 points vs Fritz’s 57. Ugo was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Humbert recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 69% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Humbert broke Fritz twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (360-230). 10-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has an overall 112-61 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Ugo has an aggregate 24-19 win-loss record in 2025, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Reilly Opelka

Ranked no. 62, Opelka got to the quarter after beating Mika Brunold 6-7(6) 7-6(9) 7-5, Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-4 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The American defeated Van De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 6-7⁷ 6-3). During the match Opelka scored 61 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 57. Reilly was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Opelka struck 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Reilly Opelka was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Opelka broke Van De Zandschulp twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Opelka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Brisbane.

Opelka has an overall 32-25 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Humbert	Opelka
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	4	10
Tot Games	38	112
Pts	126-99	322-285
Total Points	225	607
Winners	70	153
%Winners	56%	48%

Humbert played 2 matches while Opelka competed in 4 matches. Opelka started his run from the qualifications while Humbert had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Reilly Opelka dropped 2 sets while Ugo Humbert hasn’t conceded a set so far. Humbert has played 6 set(s) less than Opelka (4 vs 10). Therefore, Humbert played 74 games less than Opelka. Ugo scored 70 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 153 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Humbert	Opelka
Aces	13	77
Avg per match	6.5	19.3
1st in	87/119	198/278
%1st in	73%	71%
1st pts	70/87	153/198
%1st pts	80%	77%
2nd pts	17/32	53/80
%2nd pts	53%	66%

Humbert fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Opelka scored 77 aces (19.3 per match). Humbert won 80% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Opelka won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Humbert	Opelka
Won	5	9
Converted	5/13	9/39
% Converted	38%	23%
Conceded	6	8
Saved	5	6
% Saved	83%	75%
Times Broken	1	2

The French player broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Ugo surrendered his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Reilly broke his opponents 9 times with a 23% conversion rate. Reilly conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert
	R1 Korda	R2 Fritz	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	19	38
pts	60-42	66-57	126-99
Total points	102	123	225
Winners	34	36	70
%Winners	57%	55%	56%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	13
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	42/54	45/65	87/119
% 1st in	78%	69%	73%
1st pts	34/42	36/45	70/87
% 1st pts	81%	80%	80%
2nd pts	7/12	10/20	17/32
% 2nd pts	58%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/8	2/5	5/13
Converted %	38%	40%	38%
Conceded	4	2	6
Saved	3/4	2/2	5
Saved %	75%	100%	88%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Opelka
	Q1 Brunold	Q3 Van De Zandschulp	R1 Baez	R2 Van De Zandschulp	Total
Score	6-76 7-69 7-5	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	7-65 6-77 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	38	20	19	35	112
pts	133-121	61-57	67-50	61-57	322-285
Total points	254	118	117	118	607
Winners	58	29	37	29	153
%Winners	44%	48%	55%	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	26	16	19	16	77
Double Faults	3	4	0	4	11
1st in	79/109	38/59	43/51	38/59	198/278
% 1st in	72%	64%	84%	64%	71%
1st pts	58/79	29/38	37/43	29/38	153/198
% 1st pts	73%	76%	86%	76%	77%
2nd pts	22/30	13/21	5/8	13/21	53/80
% 2nd pts	73%	62%	63%	62%	66%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	2	9
Converted	3/14	2/9	2/7	2/9	9/39
Converted %	21%	22%	29%	22%	23%
Conceded	4	2	0	2	8
Saved	2/4	2/2	0/0	2/2	6
Saved %	50%	100%	–	100%	125%
Times Broken	2	0	0	0	2

Tennis Scores in Basel

• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marc-Andrea Huesler/Jakub PaulHuesler/Jakub Paul (6-4 7-6¹⁰) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rohan Bopanna/Ben SheltonBopanna/Ben Shelton – Pierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut (6-3 3-6 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-2) – H2H and prediction