Jordan Thompson and Mats Rosenkranz will fight against each other in the quarter of the Sioux Falls Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on SIOUX FALLS FORD LINCOLN STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.067
Mats Rosenkranz -> 7.4
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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Mats Rosenkranz
This will be the 2nd time that Jordan Thompson and Mats Rosenkranz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Thompson (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Thompson won 7-5 6-7(2) 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Eckental Challenger back in 2021.
Jordan Thompson
16 - 18win/loss
108
26
LWWLWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-18 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
Ranked no. 79, Jordan got to the quarter after beating Michael Mmoh 6-3 6-4 and Erik Arutiunian 7-5 7-6(2).
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Arutiunian (7-5 7-62). During the match, Thompson scored 98 points vs Arutiunian’s 88. Thompson was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thompson recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jordan Thompson was quite effective on serve to win 77% (36/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Arutiunian twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jordan hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Thompson has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (336-242). 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thompson has a composed 43-22 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Thompson has a composed 16-17 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sioux Falls Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Mats Rosenkranz
39 - 29win/loss
327
254
LWWLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-33 | 12-14 | 5-6 | 23-11 | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| 2024 | 36-23 | 7-4 | 13-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| 2023 | 35-34 | 4-9 | 4-10 | 22-12 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| 2022 | 31-36 | 2-4 | 7-14 | 14-13 | 2-4 | 6-1 |
| 2021 | 42-30 | 1-1 | 20-18 | 15-9 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
Ranked no. 300 (career-high), the German reached the quarter after beating Justin Boulais 6-1 6-4 and Murphy Cassone 6-0 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Mats had a good straight sets win against Cassone (6-0 7-5). During the match Rosenkranz scored 65 points vs Cassone’s 45. Rosenkranz was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Rosenkranz fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mats Rosenkranz was very effective on serve to win 90% (27/30) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mats broke Cassone 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mats hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Rosenkranz’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Oberhaching and M25 Plaisir.
The German has a composed 38-29 win-loss record in 2025, 17-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thompson | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 35 |
| Pts | 160-137 | 127-87 |
| Total Points | 297 | 214 |
| Winners | 65 | 54 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Thompson and Rosenkranz played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Thompson and Rosenkranz have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Thompson played 9 games more than Rosenkranz. Thompson scored 65 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Mats recorded 54 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thompson | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 82/151 | 62/99 |
| %1st in | 54% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 65/82 | 54/62 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 35/69 | 20/37 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 54% |
Thompson managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Rosenkranz made 15 aces (7.5 per match). Thompson won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Rosenkranz won 87% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thompson | Rosenkranz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 29% | 64% |
| Conceded | 11 | 1 |
| Saved | 9 | 1 |
| % Saved | 82% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Jordan broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Thompson conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Mats broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Mats was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Thompson | ||||
| R1 Mmoh |
R2 Arutiunian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 25 | 44 | |
| pts | 62-49 | 98-88 | 160-137 | |
| Total points | 111 | 186 | 297 | |
| Winners | 29 | 36 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 47/91 | 82/151 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 52% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 36/47 | 65/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 23/44 | 35/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/12 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 17% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 86% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Rosenkranz | ||||
| R1 Boulais |
R2 Cassone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-0 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 65-45 | 127-87 | |
| Total points | 104 | 110 | 214 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/48 | 30/51 | 62/99 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 27/30 | 54/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 90% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 11/21 | 20/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/7 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 57% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick KypsonKypson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
