Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca will face off in the quarter of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.84
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.96
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Joao Fonseca
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
26 - 20win/loss
23
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Shapovalov got to the quarter after beating Marcos Giron 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) and Valentin Royer 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Royer (7-63 6-2). During the match, Shapovalov scored 67 points vs Royer’s 56. Shapovalov was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov struck 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Shapovalov broke Royer 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Shapovalov has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (320-221). 9-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has a composed 83-49 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.
Shapovalov has an overall 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Basel
Joao Fonseca
35 - 16win/loss
24
24
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-17 | 22-6 | 8-5 | 6-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Joao got to the quarter after defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(6) 6-3 and Jakub Mensik w/o.
In the 2nd round, Fonseca defeated Mensik (w/o). During the match Fonseca and Mensik scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 23 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Fonseca was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Fonseca couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Joao Fonseca conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).
Joao has an aggregate 35-16 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Basel
Fonseca has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 22 |
| Pts | 171-148 | 73-61 |
| Total Points | 319 | 134 |
| Winners | 81 | 37 |
| %Winners | 47% | 51% |
Shapovalov played 2 matches while Fonseca competed in 1 match. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov lost 1 set while Joao Fonseca hasn’t lost a set so far. Shapovalov has played 3 sets more than Fonseca (5 vs 2). Therefore, Shapovalov played 31 games more than Fonseca. Denis scored 81 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Fonseca bagged 37 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 7 |
| 1st in | 111/164 | 47/68 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 81/111 | 37/47 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 30/53 | 15/21 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 71% |
Shapovalov struck 24 aces (12 per match). Fonseca fired 7 aces . Shapovalov won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 1 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 1/2 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Denis lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Joao broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Shapovalov | ||||
| R1 Giron | R2 Royer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-0 7-64 | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 53 | |
| pts | 104-92 | 67-56 | 171-148 | |
| Total points | 196 | 123 | 319 | |
| Winners | 47 | 34 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 11 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 66/102 | 45/62 | 111/164 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 47/66 | 34/45 | 81/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 76% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 10/17 | 30/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/8 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 50% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Fonseca | ||||
| R1 Mpetshi | R2 Mensik | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | – | 22 | |
| pts | 73-61 | – | 73-61 | |
| Total points | 134 | – | 134 | |
| Winners | 37 | – | 37 | |
| %Winners | 51% | – | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | – | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | – | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/68 | – | 47/68 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | – | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | – | 37/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | – | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | – | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | – | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | – | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 50% | – | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | – | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | – | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Basel
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marc-Andrea Huesler/Jakub PaulHuesler/Jakub Paul (6-4 7-610) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-2) – H2H and prediction