Alex De Minaur and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the quarter of the Erste Bank Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.33
Matteo Berrettini -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 6th time that Alex De Minaur and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Berrettini won 6-3 7-6(7) in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2025.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur – Miami 25-March-2025
Alex De Minaur
52 - 19win/loss
7
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Australian reached the quarter after beating Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-1 and Filip Misolic 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Misolic (6-4 6-4). During the match, De Minaur scored 68 points vs Misolic’s 58. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Misolic twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (411-224). 9-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a compiled 76-45 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
De Minaur has a composed 52-19 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Matteo Berrettini
17 - 15win/loss
56
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Alexei Popyrin 7-6(5) 6-3 and Cameron Norrie 7-6(6) 6-7(9) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Berrettini defeated Norrie (7-66 6-79 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 125 points vs Norrie’s 116. Berrettini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 62 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini blasted 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (62/85) of his 1st serve and 62% (24/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Norrie twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a compiled 17-15 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 58 |
| Pts | 132-101 | 193-173 |
| Total Points | 233 | 366 |
| Winners | 54 | 94 |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% |
Both De Minaur and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (4 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 21 games less than Berrettini. De Minaur scored 54 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 94 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 71/106 | 125/183 |
| %1st in | 67% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 54/71 | 94/125 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 28/35 | 38/58 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 66% |
De Minaur blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Berrettini blasted 25 aces (12.5 per match). De Minaur won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 36% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Alex extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. Berrettini broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Rodionov | R2 Misolic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 68-58 | 132-101 | |
| Total points | 107 | 126 | 233 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 38/57 | 71/106 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 28/38 | 54/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 74% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/16 | 15/19 | 28/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 79% | 80% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/6 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Popyrin | R2 Norrie | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 7-66 6-79 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 36 | 58 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 125-116 | 193-173 | |
| Total points | 125 | 241 | 366 | |
| Winners | 32 | 62 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 50% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 16 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 85/124 | 125/183 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 62/85 | 94/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 24/39 | 38/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 62% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/5 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-8) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction