Caty McNally and Lulu Sun will fight against each other in the quarter of the Guangzhou Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caty McNally who should win in 3 sets.
Caty McNally -> 1.9
Lulu Sun -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Caty McNally vs. Lulu Sun
There is no head to head record between Caty McNally and Lulu Sun since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Caty McNally
46 - 20win/loss
81
54
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 21-12 | 19-6 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-13 | 5-6 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-23 | 7-9 | 1-6 | 17-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-20 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 90, McNally reached the quarter after defeating Kaja Juvan 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, McNally defeated Tomljanovic (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, McNally scored 117 points vs Tomljanovic’s 105. McNally was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, McNally bagged 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Caty McNally lost the serve 4 times and she saved 16 break points. Furthermore, McNally put 66% of her first serves in, winning 61% (48/79) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.
McNally has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (197-129). 21-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, McNally has an aggregate 85-68 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the Newport where she overcame Tatjana Maria in the final 2-6 6-4 6-2 and the W100 Evansville where she overcame Darja Vidmanova in the final 7-5 6-4.
McNally has a compiled 46-20 win-loss record in 2025, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guangzhou
McNally has never competed in this tournament before.
Lulu Sun
30 - 25win/loss
88
39
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-26 | 27-16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-21 | 17-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-20 | 23-10 | 4-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-24 | 16-12 | 7-6 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 27-13 | 19-9 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 116, the Kiwi got to the quarter after beating Yuyao Li 6-4 6-0, Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah 6-2 6-2, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and Yafan Wang 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Sun had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-1). During the match Sun scored 57 points vs Wang’s 34. Sun was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Sun scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lulu Sun was very efficient on serve to win 92% (23/25) of her 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sun broke Wang 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
LuluAnke started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Jingshan where she beat Yexin Ma in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Kiwi has an aggregate 30-25 win-loss record in 2025, 25-15 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McNally | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 74 |
| Pts | 200-180 | 274-192 |
| Total Points | 380 | 466 |
| Winners | 97 | 108 |
| %Winners | 49% | 39% |
McNally played 2 matches while Sun competed in 4 matches. Sun started her run from the qualifications while McNally had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Caty McNally dropped 2 sets while Lulu Sun hasn’t lost a set so far. McNally has played 2 set(s) less than Sun (6 vs 8). Therefore, McNally played 20 games less than Sun. McNally scored 97 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, LuluAnke blasted 108 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McNally | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 150/200 | 131/218 |
| %1st in | 75% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 97/150 | 108/131 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 23/50 | 42/87 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 48% |
McNally fired 12 aces (6 per match). Sun bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). McNally won 65% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McNally | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 16/36 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 27 | 9 |
| Saved | 20 | 5 |
| % Saved | 74% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
Caty broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Caty conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. Sun broke her opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kiwi conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| McNally | ||||
| R1 Juvan | R2 Tomljanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-6 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 29 | 54 | |
| pts | 83-75 | 117-105 | 200-180 | |
| Total points | 158 | 222 | 380 | |
| Winners | 49 | 48 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 41% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 71/81 | 79/119 | 150/200 | |
| % 1st in | 88% | 66% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 49/71 | 48/79 | 97/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 61% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/10 | 21/40 | 23/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 20% | 53% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/11 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 45% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 20 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 16/20 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Sun | ||||||
| Q1 Li | Q3 Rakotomanga | R1 Bouzas | R2 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-63 7-62 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 26 | 16 | 74 | |
| pts | 62-34 | 57-32 | 98-92 | 57-34 | 274-192 | |
| Total points | 96 | 89 | 190 | 91 | 466 | |
| Winners | 26 | 23 | 36 | 23 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 31/39 | 29/46 | 46/92 | 25/41 | 131/218 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 63% | 50% | 61% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 23/29 | 36/46 | 23/25 | 108/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 79% | 78% | 92% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/8 | 10/17 | 18/46 | 10/16 | 42/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 59% | 39% | 63% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/5 | 3/14 | 4/8 | 16/36 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 80% | 21% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 57% | – | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Guangzhou
- Guillermo Garcia-LopezGarcia-Lopez – Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi (6-3 1-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (6-2 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (3-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Federico GaioGaio (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lulu SunSun – Caty McNallyMcNally (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction