Caty McNally and Lulu Sun will fight against each other in the quarter of the Guangzhou Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caty McNally who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Caty McNally is the pick to win this match.
Caty McNally -> 1.9
Lulu Sun -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Caty McNally vs. Lulu Sun

There is no head to head record between Caty McNally and Lulu Sun since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Caty McNally

Caty McNally

46 - 20win/loss

Hard
21-11
I Hard
0-1
Clay
19-6
Grass
6-2
Rank
81
High
54
LWWLWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 21-12 19-6 0-1 6-2 0-0
2024 8-5 2-2 5-0 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 16-13 5-6 9-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2022 32-23 7-9 1-6 17-5 7-3 0-0
2021 22-20 10-11 4-5 3-1 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 90, McNally reached the quarter after defeating Kaja Juvan 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, McNally defeated Tomljanovic (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, McNally scored 117 points vs Tomljanovic’s 105. McNally was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, McNally bagged 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Caty McNally lost the serve 4 times and she saved 16 break points. Furthermore, McNally put 66% of her first serves in, winning 61% (48/79) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.

McNally has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (197-129). 21-11 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, McNally has an aggregate 85-68 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title the Newport where she overcame Tatjana Maria in the final 2-6 6-4 6-2 and the W100 Evansville where she overcame Darja Vidmanova in the final 7-5 6-4.

McNally has a compiled 46-20 win-loss record in 2025, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guangzhou

McNally has never competed in this tournament before.

Guangzhou
McNally's Record

Lulu Sun

Lulu Sun

30 - 25win/loss

Hard
25-15
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-5
Grass
2-4
Rank
88
High
39
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-26 27-16 3-5 0-1 2-4 0-0
2024 41-21 17-10 10-5 6-3 8-3 0-0
2023 39-20 23-10 4-4 12-6 0-0 0-0
2022 32-24 16-12 7-6 1-1 6-4 2-1
2021 27-13 19-9 8-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 116, the Kiwi got to the quarter after beating Yuyao Li 6-4 6-0, Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah 6-2 6-2, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and Yafan Wang 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Sun had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-1). During the match Sun scored 57 points vs Wang’s 34. Sun was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Sun scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lulu Sun was very efficient on serve to win 92% (23/25) of her 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sun broke Wang 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

LuluAnke started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Jingshan where she beat Yexin Ma in the final 6-4 6-2.

The Kiwi has an aggregate 30-25 win-loss record in 2025, 25-15 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.
Guangzhou
Sun's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.McNally
L.Sun
4h:33
4h:33
Time on court​
4h:56
4h:56
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
54
54
Games Played​
74
74
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
200
200
Total points​
274
274
100
100
Avg point​
68.5
68.5
97
97
Winners
108
108
48.5
48.5
Avg Winners​
27
27
49%
49%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
25
25
6
6
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
7
7
Double Faults
8
8
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
97/150
97/150
1st won total​
108/131
108/131
65%
65%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
23/50
23/50
2nd won total​
42/87
42/87
46%
46%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
8/16
8/16
BP won
16/36
16/36
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
27
27
Conceded
9
9
13.5
13.5
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
7
7
Broken
4
4
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
1
1
20
20
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points McNally Sun
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 54 74
Pts 200-180 274-192
Total Points 380 466
Winners 97 108
%Winners 49% 39%

McNally played 2 matches while Sun competed in 4 matches. Sun started her run from the qualifications while McNally had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Caty McNally dropped 2 sets while Lulu Sun hasn’t lost a set so far. McNally has played 2 set(s) less than Sun (6 vs 8). Therefore, McNally played 20 games less than Sun. McNally scored 97 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, LuluAnke blasted 108 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve McNally Sun
Aces 12 25
Avg per match 6 6.3
1st in 150/200 131/218
%1st in 75% 60%
1st pts 97/150 108/131
%1st pts 65% 82%
2nd pts 23/50 42/87
%2nd pts 46% 48%

McNally fired 12 aces (6 per match). Sun bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). McNally won 65% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks McNally Sun
Won 8 16
Converted 8/16 16/36
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 27 9
Saved 20 5
% Saved 74% 56%
Times Broken 7 4

Caty broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Caty conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. Sun broke her opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kiwi conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

McNally
R1
Juvan
R2
Tomljanovic
Total
Score 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 25 29 54
pts 83-75 117-105 200-180
Total points 158 222 380
Winners 49 48 97
%Winners 59% 41% 49%
SERVE
Aces 2 10 12
Double Faults 2 5 7
1st in 71/81 79/119 150/200
% 1st in 88% 66% 75%
1st pts 49/71 48/79 97/150
% 1st pts 69% 61% 65%
2nd pts 2/10 21/40 23/50
% 2nd pts 20% 53% 46%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/5 5/11 8/16
Converted % 60% 45% 50%
Conceded 7 20 27
Saved 4/7 16/20 20
Saved % 57% 80% 69%
Times Broken 3 4 7
Sun
Q1
Li
Q3
Rakotomanga
R1
Bouzas
R2
Wang
Total
Score 6-4 6-0 6-2 6-2 7-63 7-62 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 16 16 26 16 74
pts 62-34 57-32 98-92 57-34 274-192
Total points 96 89 190 91 466
Winners 26 23 36 23 108
%Winners 42% 40% 37% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 11 5 8 1 25
Double Faults 0 4 4 0 8
1st in 31/39 29/46 46/92 25/41 131/218
% 1st in 79% 63% 50% 61% 60%
1st pts 26/31 23/29 36/46 23/25 108/131
% 1st pts 84% 79% 78% 92% 82%
2nd pts 4/8 10/17 18/46 10/16 42/87
% 2nd pts 50% 59% 39% 63% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 4 3 4 16
Converted 5/9 4/5 3/14 4/8 16/36
Converted % 56% 80% 21% 50% 44%
Conceded 2 0 7 0 9
Saved 1/2 0/0 4/7 0/0 5
Saved % 50% 57% 54%
Times Broken 1 0 3 0 4

Tennis Scores in Guangzhou

Upcoming matches in the draw