Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin will square off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.26
Sofia Kenin -> 3.84

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 2nd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alexandrova won 6-1 4-6 6-4 in the 1st round in Wuhan back in 2024.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin – Wuhan 08-October-2024

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

47 - 23win/loss

Hard
22-15
I Hard
4-0
Clay
13-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
10
High
10
LLWLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-25 22-16 13-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Ekaterina reached the quarter after beating Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-1 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 61 points vs Cristian’s 40. Ekaterina was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alexandrova managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 66% of her first serves in, winning 82% (27/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Cristian 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (340-219). 22-15 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Alexandrova has an overall 129-101 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

The Russian has a compiled 47-23 win-loss record in 2025, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Tokyo
Alexandrova's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

30 - 24win/loss

Hard
18-16
I Hard
0-0
Clay
9-5
Grass
3-3
Rank
28
High
4
LLWWWLLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-26 19-18 9-5 0-0 3-3 0-0
2024 16-26 10-17 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 25, Kenin reached the quarter after defeating Moyuka Uchijima 6-1 6-3 and Wakana Sonobe 3-6 6-1 7-6(2).

In the 2nd round against Sonobe, Sofia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 7-62). During the match Kenin scored 107 points vs Sonobe’s 93. Kenin was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Kenin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Sofia Kenin was very efficient on serve to win 71% (47/66) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Kenin broke Sonobe 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kenin has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Sofia’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Charleston.

The American has a composed 30-24 win-loss record in 2025, 18-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.

Tokyo
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Alexandrova
S.Kenin
1h:09
1h:09
Time on court​
!
3h:28
3h:28
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
!
2h:18
2h:18
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
15
15
Games Played​
45
45
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
61
61
Total points​
174
174
61
61
Avg point​
87
87
27
27
Winners
72
72
27
27
Avg Winners​
36
36
44%
44%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
1
1
3
3
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
2
2
Double Faults
9
9
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
27/33
27/33
1st won total​
72/102
72/102
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
8/17
8/17
2nd won total​
31/49
31/49
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
7/19
7/19
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
3.5/9.5
3.5/9.5
36%
36%
Won
37%
37%
1
1
Conceded
13
13
1
1
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
11
11
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alexandrova Kenin
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 15 45
Pts 61-40 174-137
Total Points 101 311
Winners 27 72
%Winners 44% 41%

Alexandrova played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sofia Kenin conceded 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alexandrova has played 3 set(s) less than Kenin (2 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 30 games less than Kenin. The Russian scored 27 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kenin managed to score 72 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alexandrova Kenin
Aces 3 1
Avg per match 3 0.5
1st in 33/50 102/151
%1st in 66% 68%
1st pts 27/33 72/102
%1st pts 82% 71%
2nd pts 8/17 31/49
%2nd pts 47% 63%

Alexandrova managed to score 3 aces . Kenin bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Alexandrova won 82% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alexandrova Kenin
Won 4 7
Converted 4/11 7/19
% Converted 36% 37%
Conceded 1 13
Saved 1 11
% Saved 100% 85%
Times Broken 0 2

The Russian broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Russian quite strong on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Sofia broke her opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Kenin conceded her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
R2
Cristian		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 61-40 61-40
Total points 101 101
Winners 27 27
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 33/50 33/50
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 27/33 27/33
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 8/17 8/17
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Kenin
R1
Uchijima		 R2
Sonobe		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 3-6 6-1 7-62
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 29 45
pts 67-44 107-93 174-137
Total points 111 200 311
Winners 25 47 72
%Winners 37% 44% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 2 7 9
1st in 36/57 66/94 102/151
% 1st in 63% 70% 68%
1st pts 25/36 47/66 72/102
% 1st pts 69% 71% 71%
2nd pts 15/21 16/28 31/49
% 2nd pts 71% 57% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/8 3/11 7/19
Converted % 50% 27% 37%
Conceded 5 8 13
Saved 5/5 6/8 11
Saved % 100% 75% 175%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alexandrova
More Stats
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Kenin

Click for FULL STATS