Belinda Bencic and Karolina Muchova will face off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.65
Belinda Bencic -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 5th time that Belinda Bencic and Karolina Muchova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Muchova won 6-7(2) 6-2 6-3 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in August 2025.
Highlights Karolina Muchova vs Belinda Bencic – Montreal 01-August-2025
Belinda Bencic
34 - 17win/loss
11
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-17 | 31-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Belinda reached the quarter after beating Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3
.In the 2nd round, Bencic had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-4 6-3). During the match, Bencic scored 61 points vs Gracheva’s 47. Belinda was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bencic couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bencic put 63% of her first serves in, winning 63% (20/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. The Swiss broke Gracheva 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Bencic has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (289-154). 26-12 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Bencic has a compiled 151-84 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Ashlyn Krueger in the final 4-6 6-1 6-1.
Bencic has an overall 34-17 win-loss record in 2025, 26-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Karolina Muchova
26 - 16win/loss
19
8
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Muchova got to the quarter after beating Marketa Vondrousova 6-2 1-0 ret. and Maya Joint 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-3 7-5). During the match Muchova scored 71 points vs Joint’s 52. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Karolina Muchova was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (30/39) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Czech broke Joint 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
The Czech’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Dubai.
The Czech has a composed 26-16 win-loss record in 2025, 23-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 |
| Pts | 61-47 | 111-80 |
| Total Points | 108 | 191 |
| Winners | 20 | 48 |
| %Winners | 33% | 43% |
Bencic played 1 match while Muchova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Bencic has played 3 set(s) less than Muchova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Bencic played 11 games less than Muchova. Belinda scored 20 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina blasted 48 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 64/88 |
| %1st in | 63% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 20/32 | 48/64 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 54% |
Bencic didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Muchova fired 2 aces (1 per match). Bencic won 63% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 43% | 54% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 57% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Bencic broke her opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Bencic dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | |||
| R2 Gracheva | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 61-47 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 32/51 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 20/32 | 20/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Muchova | ||||
| R1 Vondrousova | R2 Joint | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-0 ret. | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 21 | 30 | |
| pts | 40-28 | 71-52 | 111-80 | |
| Total points | 68 | 123 | 191 | |
| Winners | 18 | 30 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/36 | 39/52 | 64/88 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 75% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 18/25 | 30/39 | 48/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 7/13 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/9 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Ellen Perez/Taylor TownsendPerez/Taylor Townsend – Hao-Ching Chan/Xinyu JiangChan/Xinyu Jiang (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Jason JungJung (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis IstominIstomin – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bradley KlahnKlahn – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jason Jung/Evan KingJung/Evan King – Tom Fawcett/Anderson ReedFawcett/Anderson Reed (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Belinda BencicBencic – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Sofia KeninKenin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – (0-1) – H2H and prediction