Elena Rybakina and Victoria Mboko will fight against each other in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:30 am on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.39
Victoria Mboko -> 2.98

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Victoria Mboko

This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Victoria Mboko square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Rybakina and Mboko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Mboko won 1-6 7-5 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Montreal back in August 2025.

Highlights Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina – Montreal 06-August-2025

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

53 - 19win/loss

Hard
36-13
I Hard
3-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Rybakina reached the quarter after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 65 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 52. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina bagged 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Annie Fernandez 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Rybakina has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (378-160). 36-13 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an aggregate 185-83 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1 and in Ningbo where she beat Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 3-6 6-0 6-2.

Rybakina has a composed 53-19 win-loss record in 2025, 36-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Tokyo
Rybakina's Record

Victoria Mboko

Victoria Mboko

55 - 13win/loss

Hard
21-6
I Hard
19-1
Clay
12-4
Grass
3-2
Rank
18
High
18
WWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 62-14 28-7 12-4 19-1 3-2 0-0
2024 30-16 9-6 20-9 1-1 0-0 0-0
2023 25-15 8-3 11-9 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 10-5 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 4-2 3-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 23 (career-high), the Canadian got to the quarter after beating Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-3 6-3 and Eva Lys 6-1 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Mboko had a good straight sets win against Lys (6-1 6-1). During the match Mboko scored 59 points vs Lys’s 33. Mboko was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Mboko struck 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Victoria Mboko conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Mboko put 79% of her first serves in, winning 87% (26/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (4/8) on the 2nd serve. Victoria broke Lys 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W35 Le Lamentin where she overcame Clervie Ngounoue in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Bourg where she defeated Clervie Ngounoue in the final 6-4 6-0 and the W75 Rome where she beat Eva Vedder in the final 7-5 6-3 and the W35 Manchester where she overcame Manon Leonard in the final 7-6(0) 6-2 and the W75 Porto where she overcame Harriet Dart in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Montreal where she defeated Naomi Osaka in the final 2-6 6-4 6-1.

Victoria has an aggregate 55-13 win-loss record in 2025, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tokyo
Mboko's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
V.Mboko
1h:28
1h:28
Time on court​
2h:10
2h:10
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
!
0h:55
0h:55
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
32
32
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
65
65
Total points​
117
117
65
65
Avg point​
58.5
58.5
25
25
Winners
53
53
25
25
Avg Winners​
26.5
26.5
38%
38%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
6
6
6
6
Avg Aces
3
3
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
25/34
25/34
1st won total​
53/65
53/65
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
19/35
19/35
2nd won total​
12/24
12/24
54%
54%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
3/4
3/4
BP won
9/14
9/14
3/4
3/4
Avg BP won
4.5/7
4.5/7
!
75%
75%
Won
!
64%
64%
5
5
Conceded
2
2
5
5
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
4
4
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Mboko
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 19 32
Pts 65-52 117-78
Total Points 117 195
Winners 25 53
%Winners 38% 45%

Rybakina played 1 match while Mboko competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Mboko (2 vs 4). Therefore, Rybakina played 13 games less than Mboko. The Kazakhstani scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mboko struck 53 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Mboko
Aces 6 6
Avg per match 6 3
1st in 34/69 65/89
%1st in 49% 73%
1st pts 25/34 53/65
%1st pts 74% 82%
2nd pts 19/35 12/24
%2nd pts 54% 50%

Rybakina fired 6 aces . Mboko scored 6 aces (3 per match). Rybakina won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Mboko won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Mboko
Won 3 9
Converted 3/4 9/14
% Converted 75% 64%
Conceded 5 2
Saved 4 1
% Saved 80% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Rybakina broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Mboko broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Annie
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 65-52 65-52
Total points 117 117
Winners 25 25
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 34/69 34/69
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 25/34 25/34
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 19/35 19/35
% 2nd pts 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/4 3/4
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Mboko
R1
Andreescu
R2
Lys
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 14 32
pts 58-45 59-33 117-78
Total points 103 92 195
Winners 27 26 53
%Winners 47% 44% 45%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 6
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 35/51 30/38 65/89
% 1st in 69% 79% 73%
1st pts 27/35 26/30 53/65
% 1st pts 77% 87% 82%
2nd pts 8/16 4/8 12/24
% 2nd pts 50% 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/6 5/8 9/14
Converted % 67% 63% 64%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 0/1 1/1 1
Saved % 0% 100% 100%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw