Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer will square off in the 2^nd round of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on IWB COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.47
Valentin Royer -> 2.67

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Valentin Royer

This will be the 2^nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Shapovalov won 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2^nd round in at the U.S. Open back in August 2025.

Highlights Denis Shapovalov vs Valentin Royer – U.S. Open 28-August-2025

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 23, the Canadian got to the 2^nd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4).

In the 1^st round against Giron, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³ 6-0 7-6⁴). During the match, Shapovalov scored 104 points vs Giron’s 92. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shapovalov blasted 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (47/66) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Denis broke Giron 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Shapovalov has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (319-221). 8-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has an aggregate 82-49 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.

Shapovalov has a compiled 25-20 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Valentin Royer

Ranked no. 69 (career-high), Valentin got to the 2^nd round after defeating Marc-Andrea Huesler 7-6(5) 6-1, Kamil Majchrzak 6-4 7-5 and Raphael Collignon 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 1^st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Collignon (6-4 7-6⁵).During the match Royer scored less points (2) than Collignon. In fact, the world no. 23 won 67 points vs Collignon’s. That means that Royer was more focused during the important points. Royer was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Royer scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Valentin Royer was quite effective on serve to win 72% (39/54) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Royer broke Collignon twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he overcame Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Kigali 2 Challenger where he overcame Guy Den Ouden in the final 6-2 6-4.

The French player has a composed 60-27 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Basel

Valentin has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shapovalov	Royer
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	4
Tot Games	32	43
Pts	104-92	134-118
Total Points	196	252
Winners	47	59
%Winners	45%	44%

Shapovalov played 1 match while Royer competed in 2 matches. Royer started his run from the qualifications while Shapovalov had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov conceded 1 set while Valentin Royer hasn’t dropped a set so far. Shapovalov has played 1 set(s) less than Royer (3 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 11 games less than Royer. The Canadian scored 47 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The French player made 59 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shapovalov	Royer
Aces	13	9
Avg per match	13	4.5
1st in	66/102	79/124
%1st in	65%	64%
1st pts	47/66	59/79
%1st pts	71%	75%
2nd pts	20/36	28/45
%2nd pts	56%	62%

Shapovalov fired 13 aces . Royer struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Shapovalov won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Royer won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shapovalov	Royer
Won	5	7
Converted	5/8	7/13
% Converted	63%	54%
Conceded	7	4
Saved	5	1
% Saved	71%	25%
Times Broken	2	3

The Canadian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Valentin broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Valentin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
	R1 Giron	Total
Score	6-73 6-0 7-64
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	104-92	104-92
Total points	196	196
Winners	47	47
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	13	13
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	66/102	66/102
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	47/66	47/66
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	20/36	20/36
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	5/7	5
Saved %	71%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Royer
	Q1 Huesler	Q3 Majchrzak	R1 Collignon	Total
Score	7-65 6-1	6-4 7-5	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	22	23	65
pts	67-49	–	67-69	134-118
Total points	116	0	136	252
Winners	20		39	59
%Winners	30%	0%	58%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	0	3	9
Double Faults	1		3	4
1st in	25/46	/	54/78	79/124
% 1st in	54%	0%	69%	64%
1st pts	20/25	/	39/54	59/79
% 1st pts	80%	0%	72%	75%
2nd pts	15/21	/	13/24	28/45
% 2nd pts	71%	0%	54%	62%
Breaks
Won	5		2	7
Converted	5/10	/	2/3	7/13
Converted %	50%	0%	67%	54%
Conceded	2		2	4
Saved	0/2	0/	1/2	1
Saved %	0%	–	50%	50%
Times Broken	2		1	3

Tennis Scores in Basel

• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Jakub MensikMensik (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

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