Ajla Tomljanovic and Caty McNally will square off in the 2nd round of the Guangzhou Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ajla Tomljanovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ajla Tomljanovic is the pick to win this match.
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 1.9
Caty McNally -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Caty McNally

This will be the 2nd time that Ajla Tomljanovic and Caty McNally fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for McNally (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, McNally won 6-4 ret. in the 1st round in Indian Wells back in March 2025.

Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic

26 - 24win/loss

Hard
13-13
I Hard
0-1
Clay
8-6
Grass
5-4
Rank
83
High
32
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-26 14-15 8-6 0-1 5-4 0-0
2024 22-20 12-12 2-4 0-1 8-3 0-0
2023 7-3 2-2 5-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 38-27 19-14 7-6 5-4 7-3 0-0
2021 30-24 11-12 10-6 3-3 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 89, Tomljanovic reached the 2nd round after beating Alycia Parks 7-5 7-5.

In the 1st round, Ajla had a good straight sets win against Parks (7-5 7-5). During the match, Tomljanovic scored 89 points vs Parks’s 77. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tomljanovic struck 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 77% of her first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Tomljanovic broke Parks 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Tomljanovic has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (224-185). 13-13 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tomljanovic has a compiled 128-105 match record in the last years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Austin and Rabat.

Ajla has a composed 26-24 win-loss record in 2025, 13-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guangzhou

Ajla has never competed in this tournament before.

Guangzhou
Tomljanovic's Record

Caty McNally

Caty McNally

45 - 20win/loss

Hard
20-11
I Hard
0-1
Clay
19-6
Grass
6-2
Rank
81
High
54
LWWLWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 21-12 19-6 0-1 6-2 0-0
2024 8-5 2-2 5-0 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 16-13 5-6 9-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2022 32-23 7-9 1-6 17-5 7-3 0-0
2021 22-20 10-11 4-5 3-1 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 90, McNally reached the 2nd round after defeating Kaja Juvan 6-3 1-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Caty defeated Juvan (6-3 1-6 6-3). During the match McNally scored 83 points vs Juvan’s 75. McNally was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

About the serving games, McNally made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Caty McNally lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, McNally put 88% of her first serves in, winning 69% (49/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 20% (2/10) on the 2nd serve. Caty broke Juvan 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Newport where she overcame Tatjana Maria in the final 2-6 6-4 6-2 and the W100 Evansville where she defeated Darja Vidmanova in the final 7-5 6-4.

Caty has a composed 45-20 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Guangzhou
McNally's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Tomljanovic
C.McNally
1h:51
1h:51
Time on court​
1h:51
1h:51
1h:51
1h:51
Last match​
1h:51
1h:51
1
1
Match played
1
1
24
24
Games Played​
25
25
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
89
89
Total points​
83
83
89
89
Avg point​
83
83
42
42
Winners
49
49
42
42
Avg Winners​
49
49
47%
47%
Ratio winners
59%
59%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
2
2
7
7
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
42/66
42/66
1st won total​
49/71
49/71
64%
64%
1st won %
69%
69%
8/20
8/20
2nd won total​
2/10
2/10
40%
40%
2nd won %
!
20%
20%
-- Break Points --
5/6
5/6
BP won
3/5
3/5
5/6
5/6
Avg BP won
3/5
3/5
!
83%
83%
Won
!
60%
60%
9
9
Conceded
7
7
9
9
Avg Conceded
7
7
3
3
Broken
3
3
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
6
6
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tomljanovic McNally
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 24 25
Pts 89-77 83-75
Total Points 166 158
Winners 42 49
%Winners 47% 59%

Both Tomljanovic and McNally played 1 match. At the moment, Caty McNally surrendered 1 set while Ajla Tomljanovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tomljanovic has played 1 set(s) less than McNally (2 vs 3). Therefore, Tomljanovic played 1 game less than McNally. Tomljanovic scored 42 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Caty recorded 49 winners (59%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tomljanovic McNally
Aces 7 2
Avg per match 7 2
1st in 66/86 71/81
%1st in 77% 88%
1st pts 42/66 49/71
%1st pts 64% 69%
2nd pts 8/20 2/10
%2nd pts 40% 20%

Tomljanovic bagged 7 aces . McNally recorded 2 aces . Tomljanovic won 64% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, McNally won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 20% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tomljanovic McNally
Won 5 3
Converted 5/6 3/5
% Converted 83% 60%
Conceded 9 7
Saved 6 4
% Saved 67% 57%
Times Broken 3 3

Ajla broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. McNally broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Tomljanovic
R1
Parks
Total
Score 7-5 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 24 24
pts 89-77 89-77
Total points 166 166
Winners 42 42
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 66/86 66/86
% 1st in 77% 77%
1st pts 42/66 42/66
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 8/20 8/20
% 2nd pts 40% 40%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 6/9 6
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 3
McNally
R1
Juvan
Total
Score 6-3 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 83-75 83-75
Total points 158 158
Winners 49 49
%Winners 59% 59%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 71/81 71/81
% 1st in 88% 88%
1st pts 49/71 49/71
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 2/10 2/10
% 2nd pts 20% 20%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 4/7 4
Saved % 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores in Guangzhou

Upcoming matches in the draw