Nicolas Kicker and Mateus Alves will square off in the qualifications of the Costa do Sauipe Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Kicker who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Kicker is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Kicker -> 1.68
Mateus Alves -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Kicker vs. Mateus Alves

This will be the 2nd time that Nicolas Kicker and Mateus Alves square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kicker (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kicker won 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4 in the quarter in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger back in 2021.

Nicolas Kicker

Nicolas Kicker

45 - 25win/loss

Hard
2-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
43-23
Rank
259
High
78
LWLWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-28 2-2 48-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 12-13 2-4 10-8 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 11-10 1-1 10-9 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 27-28 6-6 20-21 0-0 1-1 0-0
2021 64-21 17-2 47-19 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 294, the Argentine reached the qualifications after beating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-1 3-6 7-5.

In the qualifications, The Argentine defeated Ribeiro (6-1 3-6 7-5). During the match, Kicker scored 111 points vs Ribeiro’s 95. Nicolas was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kicker scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Kicker lost the serve twice and he saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Kicker put 72% of his first serves in, winning 67% (49/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Ribeiro 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Kicker has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (250-170). 43-22 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kicker has a compiled 215-136 record in the last years on clay.

The Argentine’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Santiago and the Concepcion Challenger.

The Argentine has an overall 45-24 win-loss record in 2025, 43-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Costa do Sauipe Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Costa do Sauipe Challenger
Kicker's Record

Mateus Alves

Mateus Alves

25 - 23win/loss

Hard
1-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
24-19
Rank
476
High
271
WLWWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-26 1-4 27-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-31 3-5 43-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 30-28 4-7 26-21 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 22-15 5-1 17-14 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 32-33 21-20 11-13 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 419, Mateus got to the qualifications after defeating Ryan Augusto dos Santos 6-2 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Augusto dos Santos (6-2 6-1). During the match Alves scored 58 points vs Augusto dos Santos’s 29. Alves was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Alves managed to score 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mateus Alves was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brazilian broke Augusto dos Santos 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Mateus’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Cuiaba.

The Brazilian has a composed 24-23 win-loss record in 2025, 23-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Costa do Sauipe Challenger
Alves's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

N.Kicker
M.Alves (2001)
!
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
1h:11
1h:11
!
2h:35
2h:35
Last match​
1h:11
1h:11
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
15
15
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
111
111
Total points​
58
58
111
111
Avg point​
58
58
49
49
Winners
24
24
49
49
Avg Winners​
24
24
44%
44%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
4
4
1
1
Avg Aces
4
4
2
2
Double Faults
0
0
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0
0
49/73
49/73
1st won total​
24/32
24/32
67%
67%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
15/29
15/29
2nd won total​
9/11
9/11
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
82%
82%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
4/8
4/8
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
33%
33%
Won
50%
50%
19
19
Conceded
0
0
19
19
Avg Conceded
0
0
2
2
Broken
0
0
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0
0
17
17
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kicker Alves
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 28 15
Pts 111-95 58-29
Total Points 206 87
Winners 49 24
%Winners 44% 41%

Both Kicker and Alves played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Nicolas Kicker conceded 1 set while Mateus Alves hasn’t lost a set so far. Kicker has played 1 set more than Alves (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kicker played 13 games more than Alves. The Argentine scored 49 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Alves struck 24 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kicker Alves
Aces 1 4
Avg per match 1 4
1st in 73/102 32/43
%1st in 72% 74%
1st pts 49/73 24/32
%1st pts 67% 75%
2nd pts 15/29 9/11
%2nd pts 52% 82%

Kicker blasted 1 ace . Alves also recorded 4 aces . Kicker won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alves won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 82% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kicker Alves
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/8
% Converted 33% 50%
Conceded 19 0
Saved 17 0
% Saved 89% 0%
Times Broken 2 0

Nicolas broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alves was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Kicker
Q1
Ribeiro
Total
Score 6-1 3-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 111-95 111-95
Total points 206 206
Winners 49 49
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 73/102 73/102
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 49/73 49/73
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 15/29 15/29
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 19 19
Saved 17/19 17
Saved % 89% 89%
Times Broken 2 2
Alves
Q1
Augusto dos Santos
Total
Score 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 58-29 58-29
Total points 87 87
Winners 24 24
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 32/43 32/43
% 1st in 74% 74%
1st pts 24/32 24/32
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 9/11 9/11
% 2nd pts 82% 82%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Upcoming matches in the draw