Dan Martin and Aidan Mchugh will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Sioux Falls Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mchugh who should win in 3 sets.
Aidan Mchugh -> 1.44
Dan Martin -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Dan Martin vs. Aidan Mchugh
This will be the 2nd time that Dan Martin and Aidan Mchugh fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mchugh (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Mchugh won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in M15 Huamantla back in February 2025.
Dan Martin
29 - 27win/loss
419
419
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-31 | 10-14 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-32 | 14-15 | 9-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-7 | 5-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 14-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 460, Dan got to the qualifications after beating Strong Kirchheimer 7-6(3) 7-6(4).
In the qualifications, Dan had a good straight sets win against Kirchheimer (7-63 7-64). During the match, Martin scored 94 points vs Kirchheimer’s 86. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Martin made 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Dan Martin was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Kirchheimer once after converting 9% of his break points (1/11).
Martin has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 52% of his matches (96-90). 8-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Martin has a composed17-17 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Villahermosa.
Martin has an aggregate 29-26 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sioux Falls Challenger
Martin has never competed in this tournament before.
Aidan Mchugh
34 - 20win/loss
407
298
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-23 | 29-16 | 0-0 | 13-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-31 | 20-15 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 52-30 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-26 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 34-15 | 7-5 | 10-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 546, the Brit reached the qualifications after beating Noah Schachter 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, Aidan had a good straight sets win against Schachter (6-3 6-0). During the match Mchugh scored 57 points vs Schachter’s 33. Mchugh was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Mchugh was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aidan Mchugh was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brit broke Schachter 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
The Brit’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Huamantla and M25 Edwardsville.
Aidan has a composed 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Martin | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 15 |
| Pts | 94-86 | 57-33 |
| Total Points | 180 | 90 |
| Winners | 43 | 21 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Both Martin and Mchugh played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Martin and Mchugh have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Martin played 11 games more than Mchugh. Dan scored 43 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Aidan made 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Martin | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0 |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 27/44 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 21/27 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 9/17 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Martin fired 6 aces . Mchugh didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Martin won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Mchugh won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Martin | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 5 |
| Converted | 1/11 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 9% | 45% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Dan broke his opponent once with a 9% conversion rate. Dan dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Mchugh broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Aidan conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Martin | |||
| Q1 Kirchheimer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 94-86 | 94-86 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 55/88 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 43/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/11 | 1/11 | |
| Converted % | 9% | 9% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mchugh | |||
| Q1 Schachter | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 57-33 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/44 | 27/44 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 21/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Michael MmohMmoh (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick KypsonKypson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dan MartinMartin – Aidan MchughMchugh (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cannon KingsleyKingsley – Alfredo PerezPerez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrew FentyFenty – (0-0) – H2H and prediction