Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Arnaldi will square off in the 1^st round of the Erste Bank Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on #GLAUBANDICH COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.67
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 3^rd time that Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Arnaldi won 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the 1^st round in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic – Indian wells 06-March-2025

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 69, the American reached the 1^st round after beating Lukas Neumayer 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(2) and Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-1 6-2.

In the qualifications against Mcdonald, Kovacevic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Kovacevic scored 76 points vs Mcdonald’s 63. The American was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kovacevic blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 68% of his first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aleksandar started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.

Kovacevic has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (214-178). 15-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has an aggregate56-35 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Cap Cana Challenger where he beat Damir Dzumhur in the final 6-2 6-3.

The American has an overall 33-29 win-loss record in 2025, 15-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 74, Matteo reached the 1^st round after defeating Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-6(5) and Tristan Schoolkate 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the qualifications, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match Arnaldi scored 73 points vs Schoolkate’s 67. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaldi scored 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Schoolkate twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Arnaldi has a compiled 22-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kovacevic	Arnaldi
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	4
Tot Games	58	45
Pts	175-164	164-147
Total Points	339	311
Winners	88	73
%Winners	50%	45%

Both Kovacevic and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic surrendered 2 sets while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kovacevic has played 2 sets more than Arnaldi (6 vs 4). Therefore, Kovacevic played 13 games more than Arnaldi. The American scored 88 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo bagged 73 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kovacevic	Arnaldi
Aces	20	14
Avg per match	10	7
1st in	112/167	103/178
%1st in	67%	58%
1st pts	88/112	73/103
%1st pts	79%	71%
2nd pts	26/55	40/75
%2nd pts	47%	53%

Kovacevic blasted 20 aces (10 per match). Arnaldi blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Kovacevic won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kovacevic	Arnaldi
Won	6	5
Converted	6/10	5/9
% Converted	60%	56%
Conceded	9	13
Saved	4	10
% Saved	44%	77%
Times Broken	5	3

The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Aleksandar lost his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Kovacevic
	Q1 Neumayer	Q3 Mcdonald	Total
Score	7-66 3-6 7-62	2-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	35	23	58
pts	99-101	76-63	175-164
Total points	200	139	339
Winners	52	36	88
%Winners	53%	47%	50%
SERVE
Aces	15	5	20
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	65/98	47/69	112/167
% 1st in	66%	68%	67%
1st pts	52/65	36/47	88/112
% 1st pts	80%	77%	79%
2nd pts	16/33	10/22	26/55
% 2nd pts	48%	45%	47%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/3	4/7	6/10
Converted %	67%	57%	60%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	2/5	2/4	4
Saved %	40%	50%	45%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Arnaldi
	Q1 De	Q3 Schoolkate	Total
Score	6-4 7-65	7-65 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	22	45
pts	91-80	73-67	164-147
Total points	171	140	311
Winners	40	33	73
%Winners	44%	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	7	14
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	57/94	46/84	103/178
% 1st in	61%	55%	58%
1st pts	40/57	33/46	73/103
% 1st pts	70%	72%	71%
2nd pts	18/37	22/38	40/75
% 2nd pts	49%	58%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/6	2/3	5/9
Converted %	50%	67%	56%
Conceded	7	6	13
Saved	5/7	5/6	10
Saved %	71%	83%	77%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Vienna

• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-6¹¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-6(11) 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Corentin MoutetMoutet (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Nuno BorgesBorges (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Andrey RublevRublev (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Filip MisolicMisolic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas MachacMachac – Flavio CobolliCobolli (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-3) – H2H and prediction