Martin Damm and Rafael Jodar will face off in the final of the Lincoln Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.49
Martin Damm -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Martin Damm vs. Rafael Jodar

There is no head to head record between Martin Damm and Rafael Jodar since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Martin Damm

Ranked no. 240, Damm reached the final after beating Nicolas Arseneault 4-6 7-6(4) 6-4, Oliver Tarvet 7-5 7-5, Andre Ilagan 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) and Johannus Monday 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Martin had a good straight sets win against Monday (6-4 6-4). During the match, Damm scored 64 points vs Monday’s 58. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Damm made 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Martin Damm was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (30/39) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Damm broke Monday twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Damm has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (182-126). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Damm has an overall40-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Damm’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi,M15 Vaasa,M25 Elvas and the Columbus Challenger.

The American has a composed 46-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lincoln Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 283 (career-high), Rafael got to the final after defeating Cannon Kingsley 6-3 7-5, Max Wiskandt 6-4 6-1, Brandon Holt 6-0 7-5 and Patrick Kypson 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Kypson (6-3 6-3). During the match Jodar scored 66 points vs Kypson’s 43. Rafael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Jodar made 7 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Jodar lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Jodar put 71% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Jodar broke Kypson 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Hersonissos 3 Challenger where he beat Dan Added in the final 6-4 6-2.

Jodar has an overall 32-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Damm	Jodar
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	8
Tot Games	109	74
Pts	338-313	263-171
Total Points	651	434
Winners	169	101
%Winners	50%	38%

Both Damm and Jodar played 4 matches. At the moment, Martin Damm lost 2 sets while Rafael Jodar hasn’t dropped a set so far. Damm has played 2 sets more than Jodar (10 vs 8). Therefore, Damm played 35 games more than Jodar. The American scored 169 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Jodar fired 101 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Damm	Jodar
Aces	59	15
Avg per match	14.8	3.8
1st in	204/318	132/200
%1st in	64%	66%
1st pts	169/204	101/132
%1st pts	83%	77%
2nd pts	57/114	48/68
%2nd pts	50%	71%

Damm fired 59 aces (14.8 per match). Jodar made 15 aces (3.8 per match). Damm won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Damm	Jodar
Won	8	16
Converted	8/31	16/33
% Converted	26%	48%
Conceded	14	10
Saved	10	7
% Saved	71%	70%
Times Broken	4	3

The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 26% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Damm
	R1 Arseneault	R2 Tarvet	1/4 Ilagan	1/2 Monday	Total
Score	4-6 7-64 6-4	7-5 7-5	4-6 6-3 7-64	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	33	24	32	20	109
pts	98-94	77-64	99-97	64-58	338-313
Total points	192	141	196	122	651
Winners	43	37	59	30	169
%Winners	44%	48%	60%	47%	50%
SERVE
Aces	10	11	26	12	59
Double Faults	5	5	4	3	17
1st in	51/91	41/62	73/103	39/62	204/318
% 1st in	56%	66%	71%	63%	64%
1st pts	43/51	37/41	59/73	30/39	169/204
% 1st pts	84%	90%	81%	77%	83%
2nd pts	21/40	10/21	12/30	14/23	57/114
% 2nd pts	53%	48%	40%	61%	50%
Breaks
Won	2	3	1	2	8
Converted	2/6	3/9	1/9	2/7	8/31
Converted %	33%	33%	11%	29%	26%
Conceded	6	2	5	1	14
Saved	4/6	1/2	4/5	1/1	10
Saved %	67%	50%	80%	100%	74%
Times Broken	2	1	1	0	4

Jodar
	R1 Kingsley	R2 Wiskandt	1/4 Holt	1/2 Kypson	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-4 6-1	6-0 7-5	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	21	17	18	18	74
pts	68-50	61-36	68-42	66-43	263-171
Total points	118	97	110	109	434
Winners	30	19	23	29	101
%Winners	44%	31%	34%	44%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	5	7	15
Double Faults	0	0	0	0	0
1st in	41/58	28/46	29/48	34/48	132/200
% 1st in	71%	61%	60%	71%	66%
1st pts	30/41	19/28	23/29	29/34	101/132
% 1st pts	73%	68%	79%	85%	77%
2nd pts	13/17	14/18	14/19	7/14	48/68
% 2nd pts	76%	78%	74%	50%	71%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	4	16
Converted	3/9	5/8	4/7	4/9	16/33
Converted %	33%	63%	57%	44%	48%
Conceded	4	4	0	2	10
Saved	3/4	3/4	0/0	1/2	7
Saved %	75%	75%	–	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1	0	1	3

Tennis Scores in Lincoln Challenger

• Patrick Harper/Johannus MondayHarper/Johannus Monday – Aryan Shah/Dhakshineswar SureshShah/Dhakshineswar Suresh (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

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