Elena Rybakina and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the final of the Ningbo Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.4
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.94

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Ekaterina Alexandrova play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alexandrova won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Adelaide back in 2024.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

51 - 19win/loss

Hard
34-13
I Hard
3-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9, Rybakina reached the final after defeating Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3, Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 6-0 and Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-3 6-2). During the match, Rybakina scored 72 points vs Paolini’s 58. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina blasted 10 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 52% of her first serves in, winning 88% (28/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Paolini 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elena has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Rybakina has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (376-160). 34-13 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a compiled 183-83 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 51-19 win-loss record in 2025, 34-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

Rybakina has never competed in this tournament before.

Ningbo
Rybakina's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

46 - 22win/loss

Hard
21-14
I Hard
4-0
Clay
13-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
10
High
10
LLWLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-25 22-16 13-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), the Russian reached the final after beating Yue Yuan 6-3 6-3, Mccartney Kessler 6-3 6-3 and Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-3 6-4). During the match Alexandrova scored 75 points vs Shnaider’s 60. Ekaterina was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova fired 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Shnaider 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ekaterina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Alexandrova has a compiled 46-22 win-loss record in 2025, 21-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Ningbo
Alexandrova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
E.Alexandrova
5h:14
5h:14
Time on court​
4h:39
4h:39
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
3
3
Match played
3
3
63
63
Games Played​
55
55
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
247
247
Total points​
222
222
82.3
82.3
Avg point​
74
74
83
83
Winners
96
96
27.7
27.7
Avg Winners​
32
32
34%
34%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
27
27
Aces
20
20
9
9
Avg Aces
6.7
6.7
10
10
Double Faults
11
11
3.3
3.3
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
83/104
83/104
1st won total​
96/135
96/135
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
50/92
50/92
2nd won total​
34/69
34/69
54%
54%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
14/34
14/34
BP won
12/29
12/29
4.7/11.3
4.7/11.3
Avg BP won
4/9.7
4/9.7
41%
41%
Won
41%
41%
14
14
Conceded
22
22
4.7
4.7
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
4
4
Broken
4
4
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
10
10
Saved
18
18
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Alexandrova
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 63 55
Pts 247-191 222-175
Total Points 438 397
Winners 83 96
%Winners 34% 43%

Both Rybakina and Alexandrova played 3 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Alexandrova (7 vs 6). Therefore, Rybakina played 8 games more than Alexandrova. Rybakina scored 83 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 96 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Alexandrova
Aces 27 20
Avg per match 9 6.7
1st in 104/196 135/204
%1st in 53% 66%
1st pts 83/104 96/135
%1st pts 80% 71%
2nd pts 50/92 34/69
%2nd pts 54% 49%

Rybakina recorded 27 aces (9 per match). Alexandrova scored 20 aces (6.7 per match). Rybakina won 80% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Alexandrova
Won 14 12
Converted 14/34 12/29
% Converted 41% 41%
Conceded 14 22
Saved 10 18
% Saved 71% 82%
Times Broken 4 4

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 14 times with a 41% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Yastremska		 1/4
Tomljanovic		 1/2
Paolini		 Total
Score 6-4 6-76 6-3 6-2 6-0 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 32 14 17 63
pts 117-102 58-31 72-58 247-191
Total points 219 89 130 438
Winners 39 16 28 83
%Winners 33% 28% 39% 34%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 10 27
Double Faults 3 3 4 10
1st in 51/99 21/36 32/61 104/196
% 1st in 52% 58% 52% 53%
1st pts 39/51 16/21 28/32 83/104
% 1st pts 76% 76% 88% 80%
2nd pts 27/48 10/15 13/29 50/92
% 2nd pts 56% 67% 45% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 6 3 14
Converted 5/12 6/12 3/10 14/34
Converted % 42% 50% 30% 41%
Conceded 6 1 7 14
Saved 3/6 0/1 7/7 10
Saved % 50% 0% 100% 50%
Times Broken 3 1 0 4
Alexandrova
R2
Yuan		 1/4
Kessler		 1/2
Shnaider		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 18 18 19 55
pts 70-51 77-64 75-60 222-175
Total points 121 141 135 397
Winners 29 32 35 96
%Winners 41% 42% 47% 43%
SERVE
Aces 11 5 4 20
Double Faults 3 2 6 11
1st in 36/50 44/72 55/82 135/204
% 1st in 72% 61% 67% 66%
1st pts 29/36 32/44 35/55 96/135
% 1st pts 81% 73% 64% 71%
2nd pts 6/14 13/28 15/27 34/69
% 2nd pts 43% 46% 56% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/10 4/12 4/7 12/29
Converted % 40% 33% 57% 41%
Conceded 1 11 10 22
Saved 0/1 10/11 8/10 18
Saved % 0% 91% 80% 57%
Times Broken 1 1 2 4

Tennis Scores in Ningbo

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Elena RybakinaRybakina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
Rybakina
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Alexandrova

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