Denis Shapovalov is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Stockholm. Shapovalov has defeated Leo Borg 6-2 5-7 6-1 and Elias Ymer 6-4 6-73 6-1 to reach the semifinal where he will face Casper Ruud.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Denis Shapovalov’s projected draw includinghispresumable opponents in BNP Paribas Nordic Open. The Canadian has a weak record (1-3) against the presumable opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Leo Borg (622) – 6-2 5-7 6-1
1/4 – Elias Ymer (243) – 6-4 6-73 6-1
1/2 – Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Holger Rune (11) – H2H 0-1
or Ugo Humbert (25) – H2H 4-2
Latest Updated
Draw

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Casper Ruud

39 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 35-14 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on indoor hard courts. During the previous 11 years, Casper has a 66-39 record on indoor hard courts (Click here to see full career record). Casper won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this year was conquering the title in Madrid where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Nordic Open the Norwegian surrendered to Tallon Griekspoor in the quarter 7-5 7-6(5)

.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Casper Ruud

This contest would be 4th time that Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but Shapovalov has a winning record of 1-0 on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

Final – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Holger Rune

36 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 36-21 record in 2025, 4-3 on indoor hard courts. In the last 8 years, Holger has a 72-29 record on indoor hard courts (Click here to see full career record). Rune won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current year was winning the competition in Barcelona where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Nordic Open Rune didn’t take part in this event.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Holger Rune

This match would represent the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Holger Rune clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Denis Shapovalov may square off with Ugo Humbert. Their head to head record is 4-2 for Denis Shapovalov.