Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Almaty Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Moutet who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Corentin Moutet is the pick to win this match.
Corentin Moutet -> 1.83
Alex Michelsen -> 1.97

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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 4^th time that Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Moutet (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Michelsen won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Cincinnati back in August 2025.

Highlights Alex Michelsen vs Corentin Moutet – Cincinnati 09-August-2025

Alex Michelsen

Ranked no. 36, Michelsen got to the semifinal after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 6-2 6-3, Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 6-2 and Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 3-6 6-2.

In the quarter, Alex defeated Mochizuki (6-3 3-6 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 103 points vs Mochizuki’s 90. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about the service games, Michelsen managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 68% of his first serves in, winning 71% (49/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (11/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Mochizuki 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Michelsen has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 62% of his matches (158-95). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has an overall40-15 match record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Estoril Challenger where he beat Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 29-24 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Corentin Moutet

Ranked no. 41, the French player reached the semifinal after beating Bernard Tomic 6-1 7-6(9), Alexander Shevchenko 7-5 6-3 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter, Corentin had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-4 7-5). During the match Moutet scored 75 points vs Struff’s 69. The French player was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Moutet recorded 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 3 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Moutet broke Struff 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moutet hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Corentin’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Mallorca.

Moutet has an overall 37-25 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Michelsen	Moutet
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	60	63
Pts	225-176	242-208
Total Points	401	450
Winners	106	99
%Winners	47%	41%

Both Michelsen and Moutet played 3 matches. At the moment, Alex Michelsen lost 1 set while Corentin Moutet hasn’t dropped a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set more than Moutet (7 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Michelsen played 3 games less than Moutet. Alex scored 106 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 99 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Michelsen	Moutet
Aces	18	13
Avg per match	6	4.3
1st in	149/211	147/233
%1st in	71%	63%
1st pts	106/149	99/147
%1st pts	71%	67%
2nd pts	30/62	48/86
%2nd pts	48%	56%

Michelsen struck 18 aces (6 per match). Moutet scored 13 aces (4.3 per match). Michelsen won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Michelsen	Moutet
Won	12	11
Converted	12/27	11/24
% Converted	44%	46%
Conceded	12	28
Saved	8	23
% Saved	67%	82%
Times Broken	4	5

The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Michelsen surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Moutet broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
	R1 Zhukayev	R2 Vukic	1/4 Mochizuki	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-3 6-2	6-3 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	17	17	26	60
pts	64-46	58-40	103-90	225-176
Total points	110	98	193	401
Winners	29	28	49	106
%Winners	45%	48%	48%	47%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	12	18
Double Faults	2	2	2	6
1st in	46/63	34/47	69/101	149/211
% 1st in	73%	72%	68%	71%
1st pts	29/46	28/34	49/69	106/149
% 1st pts	63%	82%	71%	71%
2nd pts	11/17	8/13	11/32	30/62
% 2nd pts	65%	62%	34%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	12
Converted	4/7	3/6	5/14	12/27
Converted %	57%	50%	36%	44%
Conceded	3	0	9	12
Saved	2/3	0/0	6/9	8
Saved %	67%	–	67%	45%
Times Broken	1	0	3	4

Moutet
	R1 Tomic	R2 Shevchenko	1/4 Struff	Total
Score	6-1 7-69	7-5 6-3	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	21	22	63
pts	90-74	77-65	75-69	242-208
Total points	164	142	144	450
Winners	40	28	31	99
%Winners	44%	36%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	4	13
Double Faults	3	0	4	7
1st in	52/84	49/69	46/80	147/233
% 1st in	62%	71%	58%	63%
1st pts	40/52	28/49	31/46	99/147
% 1st pts	77%	57%	67%	67%
2nd pts	17/32	15/20	16/34	48/86
% 2nd pts	53%	75%	47%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	4	5	11
Converted	2/8	4/10	5/6	11/24
Converted %	25%	40%	83%	46%
Conceded	4	6	18	28
Saved	4/4	4/6	15/18	23
Saved %	100%	67%	83%	83%
Times Broken	0	2	3	5

Tennis Scores in Almaty

• Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Matthew Christopher Romios/Ryan SeggermanChristopher Romios/Ryan Seggerman (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – (2-1) – H2H and prediction