Jasmine Paolini and Elena Rybakina will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Ningbo Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.5
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.58
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Elena Rybakina play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the R in Riyadh back in 2024.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Elena Rybakina – Riyadh 02-November-2024
Jasmine Paolini
46 - 17win/loss
8
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Veronika Kudermetova 6-2 7-5 and Belinda Bencic 5-7 7-5 6-3.
In the quarter against Bencic, Paolini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 122 points vs Bencic’s 112. Jasmine was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini blasted 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 6 times and she saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 61% of her first serves in, winning 60% (47/78) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (24/50) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Bencic 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Paolini has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (356-248). 27-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a composed 131-97 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Italian has a composed 46-17 win-loss record in 2025, 27-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Ningbo
Paolini has never competed in this tournament before.
Elena Rybakina
50 - 19win/loss
5
3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Rybakina got to the semifinal after beating Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 6-0.
In the quarter, Elena had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-2 6-0). During the match Rybakina scored 58 points vs Tomljanovic’s 31. Rybakina was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakina recorded 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was very effective on serve to win 76% (16/21) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elena broke Tomljanovic 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.
Elena has a composed 50-19 win-loss record in 2025, 33-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 46 |
| Pts | 185-160 | 175-133 |
| Total Points | 345 | 308 |
| Winners | 73 | 55 |
| %Winners | 39% | 31% |
Both Paolini and Rybakina played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set, while Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Rybakina have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Paolini played 7 games more than Rybakina. Jasmine scored 73 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Elena struck 55 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 119/183 | 72/135 |
| %1st in | 65% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 73/119 | 55/72 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 33/64 | 37/63 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 59% |
Paolini struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Rybakina fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paolini won 61% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/20 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 60% | 46% |
| Conceded | 25 | 7 |
| Saved | 17 | 3 |
| % Saved | 68% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Jasmine broke her opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Rybakina broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R2 Kudermetova | 1/4 Bencic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 53 | |
| pts | 63-48 | 122-112 | 185-160 | |
| Total points | 111 | 234 | 345 | |
| Winners | 26 | 47 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/55 | 78/128 | 119/183 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/41 | 47/78 | 73/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 60% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 24/50 | 33/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 7/14 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 20 | 25 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 14/20 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 70% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Yastremska | 1/4 Tomljanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-76 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 14 | 46 | |
| pts | 117-102 | 58-31 | 175-133 | |
| Total points | 219 | 89 | 308 | |
| Winners | 39 | 16 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 28% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/99 | 21/36 | 72/135 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 16/21 | 55/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 10/15 | 37/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 6/12 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Ningbo
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Lukas LackoLacko (6-3 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Mats MoraingMoraing (4-6 7-5 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-3) – H2H and prediction