Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Ningbo Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.65
Diana Shnaider -> 2.23

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Diana Shnaider

This will be the 3^rd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Shnaider won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the final in Monterrey back in August 2025.

Highlights Diana Shnaider vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Monterrey 23-August-2025

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Ekaterina got to the semifinal after defeating Yue Yuan 6-3 6-3 and Mccartney Kessler 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Kessler (6-3 6-3). During the match, Alexandrova scored 77 points vs Kessler’s 64. Alexandrova was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alexandrova blasted 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 61% of her first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Kessler 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ekaterina hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (338-218). 20-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Alexandrova has a composed 127-100 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

The Russian has an aggregate 45-22 win-loss record in 2025, 20-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Diana Shnaider

Ranked no. 19, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Xiyu Wang 7-5 6-3, Karolina Muchova 2-6 6-1 6-2 and Lin Zhu 2-6 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter against Zhu, Shnaider recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Shnaider scored 79 points vs Zhu’s 61. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Shnaider struck 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Diana Shnaider lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 73% of her first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. Shnaider broke Zhu 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diana has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Monterrey where she beat Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-3 4-6 6-4.

Shnaider has an overall 27-23 win-loss record in 2025, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alexandrova	Shnaider
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	8
Tot Games	36	68
Pts	147-115	233-191
Total Points	262	424
Winners	61	94
%Winners	41%	40%

Alexandrova played 2 matches while Shnaider competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Diana Shnaider lost 2 sets while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alexandrova has played 4 set(s) less than Shnaider (4 vs 8). Therefore, Alexandrova played 32 games less than Shnaider. Alexandrova scored 61 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Diana blasted 94 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alexandrova	Shnaider
Aces	16	2
Avg per match	8	0.7
1st in	80/122	140/214
%1st in	66%	65%
1st pts	61/80	94/140
%1st pts	76%	67%
2nd pts	19/42	37/74
%2nd pts	45%	50%

Alexandrova made 16 aces (8 per match). Shnaider struck 2 aces (0.7 per match). Alexandrova won 76% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alexandrova	Shnaider
Won	8	16
Converted	8/22	16/31
% Converted	36%	52%
Conceded	12	22
Saved	10	12
% Saved	83%	55%
Times Broken	2	10

The Russian broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve twice and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Diana broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. Shnaider conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
	R2 Yuan	1/4 Kessler	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	18	36
pts	70-51	77-64	147-115
Total points	121	141	262
Winners	29	32	61
%Winners	41%	42%	41%
SERVE
Aces	11	5	16
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	36/50	44/72	80/122
% 1st in	72%	61%	66%
1st pts	29/36	32/44	61/80
% 1st pts	81%	73%	76%
2nd pts	6/14	13/28	19/42
% 2nd pts	43%	46%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/10	4/12	8/22
Converted %	40%	33%	36%
Conceded	1	11	12
Saved	0/1	10/11	10
Saved %	0%	91%	46%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Shnaider
	R1 Wang	R2 Muchova	1/4 Zhu	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	2-6 6-1 6-2	2-6 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	21	23	24	68
pts	73-66	81-64	79-61	233-191
Total points	139	145	140	424
Winners	27	34	33	94
%Winners	37%	42%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	2	2
Double Faults	5	3	5	13
1st in	41/76	48/68	51/70	140/214
% 1st in	54%	71%	73%	65%
1st pts	27/41	34/48	33/51	94/140
% 1st pts	66%	71%	65%	67%
2nd pts	17/35	10/20	10/19	37/74
% 2nd pts	49%	50%	53%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	5	6	16
Converted	5/9	5/11	6/11	16/31
Converted %	56%	45%	55%	52%
Conceded	9	4	9	22
Saved	6/9	1/4	5/9	12
Saved %	67%	25%	56%	74%
Times Broken	3	3	4	10

Tennis Scores in Ningbo

• Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Mats MoraingMoraing (4-6 7-5 7-6⁷) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Lukas LackoLacko (6-3 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-3) – H2H and prediction