Daniil Medvedev and James Duckworth will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Almaty Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.197
James Duckworth -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. James Duckworth

This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and James Duckworth play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in Toronto back in 2021.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs James Duckworth – Toronto 12-August-2021

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

36 - 21win/loss

Hard
20-12
I Hard
5-2
Clay
6-4
Grass
5-3
Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 14, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Adam Walton 7-5 7-6(0) and Fabian Marozsan 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (7-5 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 66 points vs Marozsan’s 46. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was very efficient on serve to win 79% (38/48) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Marozsan 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (493-203). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 123-53 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Medvedev’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Halle.

Daniil has a compiled 36-21 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Almaty
Medvedev's Record

James Duckworth

James Duckworth

32 - 29win/loss

Hard
15-17
I Hard
6-2
Clay
6-4
Grass
5-6
Rank
106
High
46
LWWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-33 17-19 6-4 10-4 5-6 0-0
2024 42-29 23-14 2-3 7-7 10-5 0-0
2023 51-28 43-21 1-3 5-2 2-2 0-0
2022 24-27 20-18 0-2 0-1 4-6 0-0
2021 36-24 15-9 1-2 12-9 8-4 0-0

Ranked no. 138, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Saba Purtseladze 6-3 1-0 ret., Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 4-6 7-5, Ugo Blanchet 6-3 6-4, Gabriel Diallo 7-6(3) 6-7(3) 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Duckworth had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-2). During the match Duckworth scored 82 points vs Cobolli’s 58. Duckworth was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Duckworth managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. James Duckworth was very effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. James broke Cobolli 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Duckworth started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he defeated Max Wiskandt in the final 6-1 6-1.

Duckworth has a compiled 32-29 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.

Almaty
Duckworth's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
J.Duckworth
2h:50
2h:50
Time on court​
!
8h:04
8h:04
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
1h:31
1h:31
2
2
Match played
!
5
5
45
45
Games Played​
114
114
4
4
Set played​​
13
13
151
151
Total points​
391
391
75.5
75.5
Avg point​
78.2
78.2
84
84
Winners
177
177
42
42
Avg Winners​
35.4
35.4
56%
56%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
47
47
!
11
11
Avg Aces
9.4
9.4
9
9
Double Faults
9
9
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
84/107
84/107
1st won total​
177/196
177/196
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
90%
90%
22/42
22/42
2nd won total​
68/115
68/115
52%
52%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
10/42
10/42
2.5/5
2.5/5
Avg BP won
2/8.4
2/8.4
50%
50%
Won
!
24%
24%
9
9
Conceded
11
11
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
2.2
2.2
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0.2
0.2
8
8
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Duckworth
Match played 2 5
Tot Set 4 13
Tot Games 45 114
Pts 151-120 391-311
Total Points 271 702
Winners 84 177
%Winners 56% 45%

Medvedev played 2 matches while Duckworth competed in 5 matches. Duckworth started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, James Duckworth dropped 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 9 set(s) less than Duckworth (4 vs 13). Therefore, Medvedev played 69 games less than Duckworth. Daniil scored 84 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Duckworth struck 177 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Duckworth
Aces 22 47
Avg per match 11 9.4
1st in 107/149 196/311
%1st in 72% 63%
1st pts 84/107 177/196
%1st pts 79% 90%
2nd pts 22/42 68/115
%2nd pts 52% 59%

Medvedev fired 22 aces (11 per match). Duckworth blasted 47 aces (9.4 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Duckworth won 90% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Duckworth
Won 5 10
Converted 5/10 10/42
% Converted 50% 24%
Conceded 9 11
Saved 8 10
% Saved 89% 91%
Times Broken 1 1

The Russian broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Duckworth broke his opponents 10 times with a 24% conversion rate. James conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Walton
1/4
Marozsan
Total
Score 7-5 7-60 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 25 20 45
pts 85-74 66-46 151-120
Total points 159 112 271
Winners 46 38 84
%Winners 54% 58% 56%
SERVE
Aces 13 9 22
Double Faults 7 2 9
1st in 59/90 48/59 107/149
% 1st in 66% 81% 72%
1st pts 46/59 38/48 84/107
% 1st pts 78% 79% 79%
2nd pts 15/31 7/11 22/42
% 2nd pts 48% 64% 52%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/6 3/4 5/10
Converted % 33% 75% 50%
Conceded 6 3 9
Saved 5/6 3/3 8
Saved % 83% 100% 92%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Duckworth
Q1
Purtseladze
Q3
Kukushkin
R1
Blanchet
R2
Diallo
1/4
Cobolli
Total
Score 6-3 1-0 ret. 6-4 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4 7-63 6-73 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 2 12
Tot Games 10 32 19 36 17 114
pts 42-23 94-81 63-49 110-100 82-58 391-311
Total points 65 175 112 210 140 702
Winners 15 55 24 60 23 177
%Winners 36% 59% 38% 55% 28% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 21 9 10 2 47
Double Faults 0 2 1 5 1 9
1st in 15/20 62/84 29/57 64/95 26/55 196/311
% 1st in 75% 74% 51% 67% 47% 63%
1st pts 15/15 55/62 24/29 60/64 23/26 177/196
% 1st pts 100% 89% 83% 94% 88% 90%
2nd pts 5/5 10/22 19/28 15/31 19/29 68/115
% 2nd pts 100% 45% 68% 48% 66% 59%
Breaks
Won 2 2 2 1 3 10
Converted 2/6 2/7 2/8 1/8 3/13 10/42
Converted % 33% 29% 25% 13% 23% 24%
Conceded 0 4 2 0 5 11
Saved 0/0 3/4 2/2 0/0 5/5 10
Saved % 75% 100% 100% 138%
Times Broken 0 1 0 0 0 1

Tennis Scores in Almaty

Upcoming matches in the draw