Daniil Medvedev and James Duckworth will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Almaty Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.197
James Duckworth -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. James Duckworth
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and James Duckworth play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in Toronto back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs James Duckworth – Toronto 12-August-2021
Daniil Medvedev
36 - 21win/loss
13
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Adam Walton 7-5 7-6(0) and Fabian Marozsan 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Marozsan (7-5 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 66 points vs Marozsan’s 46. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was very efficient on serve to win 79% (38/48) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Marozsan 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (493-203). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 123-53 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Medvedev’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Halle.
Daniil has a compiled 36-21 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
James Duckworth
32 - 29win/loss
106
46
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-33 | 17-19 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-29 | 23-14 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-28 | 43-21 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-27 | 20-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-24 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 12-9 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 138, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Saba Purtseladze 6-3 1-0 ret., Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 4-6 7-5, Ugo Blanchet 6-3 6-4, Gabriel Diallo 7-6(3) 6-7(3) 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Duckworth had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-2). During the match Duckworth scored 82 points vs Cobolli’s 58. Duckworth was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Duckworth managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. James Duckworth was very effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. James broke Cobolli 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Duckworth started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he defeated Max Wiskandt in the final 6-1 6-1.
Duckworth has a compiled 32-29 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 114 |
| Pts | 151-120 | 391-311 |
| Total Points | 271 | 702 |
| Winners | 84 | 177 |
| %Winners | 56% | 45% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Duckworth competed in 5 matches. Duckworth started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, James Duckworth dropped 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 9 set(s) less than Duckworth (4 vs 13). Therefore, Medvedev played 69 games less than Duckworth. Daniil scored 84 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Duckworth struck 177 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 47 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 9.4 |
| 1st in | 107/149 | 196/311 |
| %1st in | 72% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 84/107 | 177/196 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 22/42 | 68/115 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 59% |
Medvedev fired 22 aces (11 per match). Duckworth blasted 47 aces (9.4 per match). Medvedev won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Duckworth won 90% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 10/42 |
| % Converted | 50% | 24% |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 89% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Duckworth broke his opponents 10 times with a 24% conversion rate. James conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Walton | 1/4 Marozsan | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-60 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 20 | 45 | |
| pts | 85-74 | 66-46 | 151-120 | |
| Total points | 159 | 112 | 271 | |
| Winners | 46 | 38 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 9 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 59/90 | 48/59 | 107/149 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 81% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 38/48 | 84/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 7/11 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 64% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/4 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 3/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Duckworth | |||||||
| Q1 Purtseladze | Q3 Kukushkin | R1 Blanchet | R2 Diallo | 1/4 Cobolli | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-0 ret. | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 6-73 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 32 | 19 | 36 | 17 | 114 | |
| pts | 42-23 | 94-81 | 63-49 | 110-100 | 82-58 | 391-311 | |
| Total points | 65 | 175 | 112 | 210 | 140 | 702 | |
| Winners | 15 | 55 | 24 | 60 | 23 | 177 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 59% | 38% | 55% | 28% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 47 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 15/20 | 62/84 | 29/57 | 64/95 | 26/55 | 196/311 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 74% | 51% | 67% | 47% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 15/15 | 55/62 | 24/29 | 60/64 | 23/26 | 177/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 89% | 83% | 94% | 88% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/5 | 10/22 | 19/28 | 15/31 | 19/29 | 68/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 100% | 45% | 68% | 48% | 66% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/7 | 2/8 | 1/8 | 3/13 | 10/42 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 29% | 25% | 13% | 23% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 100% | – | 100% | 138% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Almaty
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – James Duckworth/Adam WaltonDuckworth/Adam Walton (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Diego Hidalgo/Patrik TrhacHidalgo/Patrik Trhac (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Corentin MoutetMoutet (1-2) – H2H and prediction