Holger Rune and Tomas Martin Etcheverry will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.34
Tomas Martin Etcheverry -> 3.24

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry

This will be the 4^th time that Holger Rune and Tomas Martin Etcheverry square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Rune won 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) in the quarter in Basel back in 2023.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry – Basel 27-October-2023

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 11, Holger got to the quarter after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 74 points vs Fucsovics’s 64. Rune was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rune scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Holger broke Fucsovics 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Rune has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (286-151). 3-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed71-29 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Barcelona where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Holger has an overall 35-21 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Ranked no. 63, Tomas Martin got to the quarter after defeating Mark Lajal 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Tomas Martin defeated Kecmanovic (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Etcheverry scored 99 points vs Kecmanovic’s 92. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about serving, Etcheverry made 19 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tomas Martin Etcheverry lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Etcheverry put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% (61/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (13/37) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Kecmanovic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas Martin has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Tomas Martin’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Hamburg.

Tomas Martin has a compiled 25-29 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Etcheverry
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	6
Tot Games	20	64
Pts	74-64	202-193
Total Points	138	395
Winners	32	111
%Winners	43%	55%

Rune played 1 match while Etcheverry competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Tomas Martin Etcheverry lost 2 sets while Holger Rune hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rune has played 4 set(s) less than Etcheverry (2 vs 6). Therefore, Rune played 44 games less than Etcheverry. Rune scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine blasted 111 winners (55%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Etcheverry
Aces	6	28
Avg per match	6	14
1st in	47/70	153/221
%1st in	67%	69%
1st pts	32/47	111/153
%1st pts	68%	73%
2nd pts	13/23	31/68
%2nd pts	57%	46%

Rune struck 6 aces . Etcheverry managed to score 28 aces (14 per match). Rune won 68% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Etcheverry won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Etcheverry
Won	3	8
Converted	3/10	8/14
% Converted	30%	57%
Conceded	9	16
Saved	8	11
% Saved	89%	69%
Times Broken	1	5

Rune broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tomas Martin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R2 Fucsovics	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	74-64	74-64
Total points	138	138
Winners	32	32
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	47/70	47/70
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	32/47	32/47
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	13/23	13/23
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/10	3/10
Converted %	30%	30%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	8/9	8
Saved %	89%	89%
Times Broken	1	1

Etcheverry
	R1 Lajal	R2 Kecmanovic	Total
Score	7-65 6-75 6-3	6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	35	29	64
pts	103-101	99-92	202-193
Total points	204	191	395
Winners	50	61	111
%Winners	49%	62%	55%
SERVE
Aces	9	19	28
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	73/104	80/117	153/221
% 1st in	70%	68%	69%
1st pts	50/73	61/80	111/153
% 1st pts	68%	76%	73%
2nd pts	18/31	13/37	31/68
% 2nd pts	58%	35%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/9	3/5	8/14
Converted %	56%	60%	57%
Conceded	5	11	16
Saved	2/5	9/11	11
Saved %	40%	82%	122%
Times Broken	3	2	5

Tennis Scores in Stockholm

• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Miomir Kecmanovic/Alexandre MullerKecmanovic/Alexandre Muller (4-6 6-1 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elias YmerYmer – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-1) – H2H and prediction