Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego will clash against each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.59
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 9th time that Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Humbert won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Eastbourne back in June 2025.
Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego – Eastbourne 25-June-2025
Ugo Humbert
20 - 18win/loss
37
13
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-20 | 8-9 | 2-5 | 11-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Ugo got to the quarter after defeating Matteo Berrettini 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (7-65 6-3). During the match, Humbert scored 67 points vs Berrettini’s 57. Ugo was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Humbert fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Humbert was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Berrettini twice.
Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (356-229). 6-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has a composed 108-60 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.
The French player has an overall 20-18 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Sonego
20 - 25win/loss
39
21
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 11-14 | 1-5 | 8-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, Lorenzo got to the quarter after defeating Arthur Fery 6-4 6-2 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6(3) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Sonego had a good straight sets win against Kovacevic (7-63 6-1). During the match Sonego scored 68 points vs Kovacevic’s 46. Sonego was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Kovacevic twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
The Italian has an aggregate 20-25 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 38 |
| Pts | 67-57 | 136-98 |
| Total Points | 124 | 234 |
| Winners | 32 | 64 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Humbert played 1 match while Sonego competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Humbert has played 2 set(s) less than Sonego (2 vs 4). Therefore, Humbert played 16 games less than Sonego. The French player scored 32 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 64 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 84/122 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 64/84 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 23/38 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 61% |
Humbert managed to score 4 aces . Sonego struck 8 aces (4 per match). Humbert won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 100% | 40% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. The French player very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Lorenzo broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||
| R2 Berrettini | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 67-57 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 40/59 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 32/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Sonego | ||||
| R1 Fery | R2 Kovacevic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 68-46 | 136-98 | |
| Total points | 120 | 114 | 234 | |
| Winners | 33 | 31 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/60 | 40/62 | 84/122 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 65% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 31/40 | 64/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 16/22 | 23/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 73% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/3 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 175% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Stockholm
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Miomir Kecmanovic/Alexandre MullerKecmanovic/Alexandre Muller (4-6 6-1 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elias YmerYmer – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (2-1) – H2H and prediction