Hugo Grenier and Nerman Fatic will clash against each other in the quarter of the Olbia Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CLOTO ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Grenier who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Grenier is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Grenier -> 1.26
Nerman Fatic -> 3.58

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Nerman Fatic

This will be the 2^nd time that Hugo Grenier and Nerman Fatic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Grenier (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Grenier won 7-5 7-5 in the qualifications in Marrakech back in 2023.

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 192, Grenier reached the quarter after defeating Nishesh Basavareddy 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Norbert Gombos 7-6(4) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Gombos (7-6⁴ 6-1). During the match, Grenier scored 79 points vs Gombos’s 62. Grenier was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Grenier recorded 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (36/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Grenier broke Gombos 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Grenier has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (375-283). 27-16 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Grenier has an aggregate 211-108 record in the last years on hard.

Grenier’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Villena Challenger.

Hugo has a composed 35-30 win-loss record in 2025, 27-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Olbia Challenger

Grenier has never competed in this tournament before.

Nerman Fatic

Ranked no. 210, Fatic got to the quarter after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-5 and Carlo Alberto Caniato 3-6 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Alberto Caniato, Fatic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Fatic scored 80 points vs Alberto Caniato’s 75. The Bosnian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Fatic managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nerman Fatic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Fatic put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the 2nd serve. Fatic broke Alberto Caniato 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fatic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Nerman’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Antalya,M15 Porec,M15 Dubrovnik,the Skopje Challenger,the Perugia Challenger and M25 Zlatibor.

Fatic has an aggregate 45-14 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Grenier	Fatic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	47	47
Pts	163-143	154-134
Total Points	306	288
Winners	76	67
%Winners	47%	44%

Both Grenier and Fatic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Grenier lost 1 set, while Nerman Fatic lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Grenier and Fatic have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (47). The French player scored 76 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Nerman fired 67 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Grenier	Fatic
Aces	26	14
Avg per match	13	7
1st in	109/169	93/149
%1st in	64%	62%
1st pts	76/109	67/93
%1st pts	70%	72%
2nd pts	29/60	26/56
%2nd pts	48%	46%

Grenier managed to score 26 aces (13 per match). Fatic made 14 aces (7 per match). Grenier won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Fatic won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Grenier	Fatic
Won	8	10
Converted	8/17	10/21
% Converted	47%	48%
Conceded	15	14
Saved	11	9
% Saved	73%	64%
Times Broken	4	5

Grenier broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Grenier lost his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Bosnian broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Nerman conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Grenier
	R1 Basavareddy	R2 Gombos	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 6-2	7-64 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	27	20	47
pts	84-81	79-62	163-143
Total points	165	141	306
Winners	40	36	76
%Winners	48%	46%	47%
SERVE
Aces	15	11	26
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	54/86	55/83	109/169
% 1st in	63%	66%	64%
1st pts	40/54	36/55	76/109
% 1st pts	74%	65%	70%
2nd pts	15/32	14/28	29/60
% 2nd pts	47%	50%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/12	4/5	8/17
Converted %	33%	80%	47%
Conceded	5	10	15
Saved	3/5	8/10	11
Saved %	60%	80%	70%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Fatic
	R1 Carballes Baena	R2 Alberto	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	3-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	27	47
pts	74-59	80-75	154-134
Total points	133	155	288
Winners	34	33	67
%Winners	46%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	10	4	14
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	42/66	51/83	93/149
% 1st in	64%	61%	62%
1st pts	34/42	33/51	67/93
% 1st pts	81%	65%	72%
2nd pts	7/24	19/32	26/56
% 2nd pts	29%	59%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/13	5/8	10/21
Converted %	38%	63%	48%
Conceded	5	9	14
Saved	3/5	6/9	9
Saved %	60%	67%	64%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Nerman FaticFatic – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-1) – H2H and prediction