Harold Mayot and Sho Shimabukuro will face off in the quarter of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Harold Mayot who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Harold Mayot is the pick to win this match.
Harold Mayot -> 1.56
Sho Shimabukuro -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Harold Mayot vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2nd time that Harold Mayot and Sho Shimabukuro play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mayot (see full H2H stats

), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Mayot won 6-1 6-1 in the 2nd round in M25 Monastir back in 2022.

Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot

36 - 29win/loss

Hard
13-8
I Hard
5-6
Clay
18-11
Grass
0-4
Rank
163
High
103
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-32 17-10 18-11 5-7 0-4 0-0
2024 45-37 14-13 11-9 15-11 5-4 0-0
2023 31-29 11-9 9-13 7-5 4-1 0-1
2022 40-33 13-8 19-13 7-11 0-0 1-1
2021 15-14 0-1 7-3 7-9 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 182, Harold reached the quarter after defeating Lloyd Harris 7-6(2) 6-2 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (6-4 6-2). During the match, Mayot scored 66 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 53. Mayot was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mayot struck 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Harold Mayot lost the serve once. Furthermore, Mayot put 62% of his first serves in, winning 83% (30/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. Mayot broke Ferreira Silva 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Harold hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Mayot has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (196-161). 13-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mayot has an aggregate56-43 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Mayot’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Zug Challenger.

The French player has an aggregate 36-29 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger

Mayot has never competed in this tournament before.

Shenzhen Challenger
Mayot's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro

22 - 19win/loss

Hard
19-16
I Hard
0-0
Grass
3-3
Rank
146
High
135
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 212, Sho got to the quarter after defeating Petr Bar Biryukov 6-4 7-5 and Sergey Fomin 4-6 7-5 7-5.

In the 2nd round against Fomin, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Shimabukuro scored 113 points vs Fomin’s 106. Sho was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Shimabukuro blasted 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (47/66) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sho broke Fomin 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sho has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he beat Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5.

The Japanese has an overall 22-19 win-loss record in 2025, 19-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shenzhen Challenger
Shimabukuro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Mayot
S.Shimabukuro
2h:55
2h:55
Time on court​
3h:52
3h:52
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
56
56
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
134
134
Total points​
185
185
67
67
Avg point​
92.5
92.5
59
59
Winners
79
79
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
39.5
39.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
26
26
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
!
13
13
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
59/74
59/74
1st won total​
79/103
79/103
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
25/46
25/46
2nd won total​
39/64
39/64
54%
54%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
6/11
6/11
BP won
5/11
5/11
3/5.5
3/5.5
Avg BP won
2.5/5.5
2.5/5.5
!
55%
55%
Won
45%
45%
2
2
Conceded
14
14
1
1
Avg Conceded
7
7
1
1
Broken
2
2
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mayot Shimabukuro
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 39 56
Pts 134-107 185-161
Total Points 241 346
Winners 59 79
%Winners 44% 43%

Both Mayot and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Sho Shimabukuro lost 1 set while Harold Mayot hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mayot has played 1 set(s) less than Shimabukuro (4 vs 5). Therefore, Mayot played 17 games less than Shimabukuro. Harold scored 59 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Shimabukuro fired 79 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mayot Shimabukuro
Aces 15 26
Avg per match 7.5 13
1st in 74/120 103/167
%1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 59/74 79/103
%1st pts 80% 77%
2nd pts 25/46 39/64
%2nd pts 54% 61%

Mayot bagged 15 aces (7.5 per match). Shimabukuro blasted 26 aces (13 per match). Mayot won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mayot Shimabukuro
Won 6 5
Converted 6/11 5/11
% Converted 55% 45%
Conceded 2 14
Saved 1 12
% Saved 50% 86%
Times Broken 1 2

The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Mayot dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Shimabukuro conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Mayot
R1
Lloyd
R2
Ferreira Silva
Total
Score 7-62 6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 18 39
pts 68-54 66-53 134-107
Total points 122 119 241
Winners 29 30 59
%Winners 43% 45% 44%
SERVE
Aces 0 15 15
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 38/62 36/58 74/120
% 1st in 61% 62% 62%
1st pts 29/38 30/36 59/74
% 1st pts 76% 83% 80%
2nd pts 17/24 8/22 25/46
% 2nd pts 71% 36% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/3 4/8 6/11
Converted % 67% 50% 55%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/1 1
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Shimabukuro
R1
Bar
R2
Fomin
Total
Score 6-4 7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 34 56
pts 72-55 113-106 185-161
Total points 127 219 346
Winners 32 47 79
%Winners 44% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 12 14 26
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 37/63 66/104 103/167
% 1st in 59% 63% 62%
1st pts 32/37 47/66 79/103
% 1st pts 86% 71% 77%
2nd pts 16/26 23/38 39/64
% 2nd pts 62% 61% 61%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/3 3/8 5/11
Converted % 67% 38% 45%
Conceded 6 8 14
Saved 6/6 6/8 12
Saved % 100% 75% 88%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Upcoming matches in the draw