Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mccartney Kessler will clash against each other in the quarter of the Ningbo Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.444
Mccartney Kessler -> 2.76

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Mccartney Kessler

There is no head to head record between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mccartney Kessler since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Alexandrova got to the quarter after beating Yue Yuan 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-3 6-3). During the match, Alexandrova scored 70 points vs Yuan’s 51. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alexandrova scored 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve once. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 72% of her first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Alexandrova broke Yuan 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (337-218). 19-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has a composed 126-100 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

The Russian has an aggregate 44-22 win-loss record in 2025, 19-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Ningbo

Alexandrova has never competed in this tournament before.

Mccartney Kessler

Ranked no. 33, Kessler reached the quarter after beating Sofia Kenin 6-1 6-0 and Liudmila Samsonova 7-6(5) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Kessler had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (7-6⁵ 6-1). During the match Kessler scored 73 points vs Samsonova’s 59. Mccartney was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Kessler managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Mccartney Kessler lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kessler put 61% of her first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Mccartney broke Samsonova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kessler hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Hobart where she overcame Elise Mertens in the final 6-4 3-6 6-0 and in Nottingham where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-4 7-5.

Kessler has a compiled 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 26-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alexandrova	Kessler
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	18	33
Pts	70-51	127-83
Total Points	121	210
Winners	29	51
%Winners	41%	40%

Alexandrova played 1 match while Kessler competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Alexandrova has played 2 set(s) less than Kessler (2 vs 4). Therefore, Alexandrova played 15 games less than Kessler. The Russian scored 29 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 51 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alexandrova	Kessler
Aces	11	9
Avg per match	11	4.5
1st in	36/50	70/116
%1st in	72%	60%
1st pts	29/36	51/70
%1st pts	81%	73%
2nd pts	6/14	23/46
%2nd pts	43%	50%

Alexandrova recorded 11 aces . Kessler struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Alexandrova won 81% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kessler won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alexandrova	Kessler
Won	4	9
Converted	4/10	9/10
% Converted	40%	90%
Conceded	1	11
Saved	0	9
% Saved	0%	82%
Times Broken	1	2

Alexandrova broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Kessler broke her opponents 9 times with a 90% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
	R2 Yuan	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	70-51	70-51
Total points	121	121
Winners	29	29
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	36/50	36/50
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	29/36	29/36
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	6/14	6/14
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Kessler
	R1 Kenin	R2 Samsonova	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	7-65 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	13	20	33
pts	54-24	73-59	127-83
Total points	78	132	210
Winners	22	29	51
%Winners	41%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	9
Double Faults	4	4	8
1st in	27/45	43/71	70/116
% 1st in	60%	61%	60%
1st pts	22/27	29/43	51/70
% 1st pts	81%	67%	73%
2nd pts	10/18	13/28	23/46
% 2nd pts	56%	46%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/5	4/5	9/10
Converted %	100%	80%	90%
Conceded	3	8	11
Saved	3/3	6/8	9
Saved %	100%	75%	175%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Ningbo

• Ulrikke Eikeri/Qianhui TangEikeri/Qianhui Tang – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Ellen PerezKichenok/Ellen Perez (3-6 6-3 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas LackoLacko – Viktor GalovicGalovic (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Jurij RodionovRodionov (7-5 6-7⁵ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mats MoraingMoraing – Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lin ZhuZhu – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction